Sonic Automotive, Inc. (SAH) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the SAH stock price target?

Take-profit $78.59 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $74.56.

Q: What are the risks of investing in SAH?

Target reached (-17.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Target reached (-17.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Q: Is SAH overvalued or undervalued?

Sonic Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.4 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about SAH?

15 analysts cover SAH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $76.

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $79.97: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality.

Sonic Automotive is one of the largest US automotive retailers, operating 111 franchised dealerships (85% of 2025 revenue), 18 EchoPark used-vehicle specialty stores (13.7%), and 14 Powersports stores across 18+ states. Revenue comes from new/used vehicle sales, Fixed Operations... Read more

$79.97-2.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#12 of 16 Auto & Truck Dealerships

Stop $74.56Target $78.59(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1

Analyst target$76.09-4.9%11 analysts

$78.59our TP

$79.97price

$76.09mean

$67

$92

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-17.4% upside)

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.4

P/E (Fwd)10.2

Mkt Cap$2.5B

EV/EBITDA9.8

Profit Mgn0.8%

ROE11.1%

Rev Growth-0.6%

Beta0.83

Dividend2.07%

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish

IV65%elevated

Max Pain$35-56.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMSupplierluxury and mid-line import brands
10-K Item 1A: 'Our new vehicle sales operations are comprised primarily of luxury and mid-line import brands, which exposes us to manufacturer concentration risks.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-13Item 5.02LOW
Sonic Automotive Compensation Committee established 2026 performance-based cash bonus parameters for executive officers (CEO David Smith, President Jeff Dyke, CFO Heath Byrd). Routine compensatory arrangement.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.415%1.11

Quality3.515%0.53

Growth1.115%0.17

Momentum6.810%0.68

Sentiment5.510%0.55

Insider Activity7.010%0.70

Peer Rank4.610%0.46

Technical Setup3.35%0.17

Risk Profile3.95%0.20

Catalyst6.95%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)4.90

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -0.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth

0.0

Revenue Growth

2.3

Declining revenue: -1%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger

0.0

Support Resistance

0.0

Gap

5.0

52w Position

8.2

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.4

Operating Margin

1.3

Piotroski F

3.3

Roa

3.6

Roe

3.7

Current Ratio

4.3

Moat

5.0

Fcf Quality

10.0

Excellent cash conversion: 160% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9

GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

79 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $61.45Resistance $80.19

Price Targets

$75

$79

A.Upside-1.7%

A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.4% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SAH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $79.97: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Prior stop was $74.56. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SAH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.59 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $74.56. Stop-loss: $74.56.

What are the risks of investing in SAH?

Target reached (-17.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is SAH overvalued or undervalued?

Sonic Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.4 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SAH?

15 analysts cover SAH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $76.

What does Sonic Automotive, Inc. do?Sonic Automotive is one of the largest US automotive retailers, operating 111 franchised dealerships (85% of 2025...