Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $199.00: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.38; Below-average business quality.
Asbury Automotive Group operates 223 new vehicle franchises across 171 dealership locations and 39 collision centers in 15 states, selling new/used vehicles, parts/service, and F&I products. Toyota/Lexus is the single largest manufacturer at 30% of new vehicle revenues; Ford and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $199.00: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.38; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 3/7 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierToyota Motor Sales, U.S.A., Inc. (Toyota and Lexus)30%10-K Item 1A: 'Toyota Motor Sales, U.S.A., Inc. (Toyota and Lexus)| 30 | %'
- MEDIUMSupplierFord Motor Company (Ford and Lincoln)14%10-K Item 1A: 'Ford Motor Company (Ford and Lincoln)| 14 | %'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-04Item 5.02LOWChristopher DiSantis appointed to Asbury Board of Directors effective March 1, 2026. Appointed to Audit Committee and Compensation & Human Resources Committee. Board expanded to 11, with 10 independent directors.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $199.00: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.38; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $185.07. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $207.45 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $185.07. Stop-loss: $185.07.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Toyota Motor Sales, U.S.A., Inc. (Toyota and Lexus) (30.0%); Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).
Asbury Automotive Group Inc trades at a P/E of 7.1 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover ABG with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $238.
What does Asbury Automotive Group Inc do?Asbury Automotive Group operates 223 new vehicle franchises across 171 dealership locations and 39 collision centers in...
Asbury Automotive Group operates 223 new vehicle franchises across 171 dealership locations and 39 collision centers in 15 states, selling new/used vehicles, parts/service, and F&I products. Toyota/Lexus is the single largest manufacturer at 30% of new vehicle revenues; Ford and Honda are the next largest at 14% and 10% respectively.