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Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.62: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Ryerson Holding Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, processes and distributes industrial metals in the United States and internationally. It offers a line of products in carbon steel, stainless steel, alloy steels, and aluminum, as well as nickel and red metals in... Read more

$24.62+0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 9 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-40.08%
IncomeYield3.05%Payout118.65%at-risk
Stop $23.14Target $24.65(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$29.00+17.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.62: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Ryerson Holding Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (0.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.7% YoY), High leverage (D/E 2.6)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA29.9
Profit Mgn-0.9%
ROE-4.3%
Rev Growth37.9%
Beta1.66
Dividend3.05%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.60bearish
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$20-18.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.9
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
7.6
Cash-burning: FCF -10% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.86Resistance $29.03

Price Targets

$23
$25
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.7% YoY), High leverage (D/E 2.6)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RYZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.62: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $23.14. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RYZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.65 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $23.14. Stop-loss: $23.14.

What are the risks of investing in RYZ?

Target reached (0.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.7% YoY), High leverage (D/E 2.6).

Is RYZ overvalued or undervalued?

Ryerson Holding Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RYZ?

9 analysts cover RYZ with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Ryerson Holding Corporation do?Ryerson Holding Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, processes and distributes industrial metals in the United...

Ryerson Holding Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, processes and distributes industrial metals in the United States and internationally. It offers a line of products in carbon steel, stainless steel, alloy steels, and aluminum, as well as nickel and red metals in various shapes and forms, including coils, sheets, rounds, hexagons, square and flat bars, plates, structural, and tubing. The company also provides processing services. It serves commercial transportation, fabrication and welding, machinery and equipment, consumer products, heavy equipment, climate, power, and machine shop industries. Ryerson Holding Corporation was founded in 1842 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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