Ryerson Holding's 38% year-over-year revenue growth and attractive PEG ratio of 0.05 signal potential value in this metal distributor, but persistent free cash flow deficits and three earnings misses in four quarters indicate the growth story faces serious execution challenges.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
- Revenue Growth Leadership→Stable
- Fcf Negative Quality Gap→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Industrials · Metal Fabrication
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.86: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Ryerson Holding is one of the largest value-added processors and distributors of industrial metals in North America, operating 103 facilities across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico plus three in China, serving roughly 40,000 customers with a full line of stainless steel, aluminum,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.86: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Ryerson Holding Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Ryerson Holding Sees Q2 GAAP EPS $0.38-$0.42 vs $0.43 Est; Sees Sales $1.860B-$1.930B vs $1.862B Est — benzinga May 6, 2026 negative
- NEWS Earnings Scheduled For May 6, 2026 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
- NEWS In Q2 Of 2026, Ryerson Expects That Same-store Daily Shipments Will Increase Sequentially Between 1% To 3% From First Qu — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS Update: Ryerson Holding Q1 Adj. EPS $0.30 Beats $0.28 Estimate, Sales $1.567B Miss $1.699B Estimate — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Ryerson Holding Q1 EPS $0.10 May Not Be Comparable To $0.28 Estimate, Sales $1.567B Miss $1.699B Estimate — benzinga May 6, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-07-07T10:21:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliertop 25 suppliers76%10-K Item 1A: 'our top 25 suppliers represented approximately 76% of our purchases.'
- LOWCustomertop 10 customers15%10-K Item 1: 'no single customer, including their subcontractors, accounted for more than 6% of our sales, and our top 10 customers, including their subcontractors accounted for approximately 15% of our sales.'
- LOWregulatoryChina land use rights10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025, the Chinese government terminated one of our land use rights agreements resulting in impairment of assets and disruptions to our business, the impact of which was not significant to the consolidated financial statements.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-06Item 5.02LOWDirector Kirk K. Calhoun was not renominated and ceased serving on the Board effective April 30, 2026, following the Annual Meeting. Routine board turnover; no disagreement cited.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-06Item 5.07LOWRyerson held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on April 30, 2026, where stockholders approved the Third Amended and Restated 2014 Omnibus Incentive Plan, adding 1,500,000 shares and extending the plan to April 29, 2036.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.86: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $24.05. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $30.23 (+16.9% upside). Prior stop was $24.05. Stop-loss: $24.05.
Concentration risk — Supplier: top 25 suppliers (76.0%); Target reached (-4.7% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).
Ryerson Holding Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover RYZ with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $29.
What does Ryerson Holding Corporation do?Ryerson Holding is one of the largest value-added processors and distributors of industrial metals in North America,...
Ryerson Holding is one of the largest value-added processors and distributors of industrial metals in North America, operating 103 facilities across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico plus three in China, serving roughly 40,000 customers with a full line of stainless steel, aluminum, carbon steel, and alloy products - nearly 80% of which are processed to customer specifications. The company completed its merger with Olympic Steel in February 2026, becoming North America's second-largest metals service center, with Platinum Equity owning approximately 12.2% of shares outstanding as of December 31, 20