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Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $131.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of products we manufacture is broad: copper tube and fittings; line sets; steel nipples; brass rod, bar, and shapes; aluminum and brass forgings; aluminum impact... Read more

$131.84+5.2% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#1 of 9 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.31%
IncomeYield1.03%(5y avg 1.14%)Payout14.42%sustainable
Stop $126.31Target $138.68(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$149.50+13.4%2 analysts
$138.68our TP
$131.84price
$149.50mean
$150

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $131.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Mueller Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.9
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$15.1B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn19.4%
ROE28.3%
Rev Growth19.3%
Beta1.14
Dividend1.03%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV36%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $130.22Resistance $141.51

Price Targets

$126
$139
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $131.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $126.31. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $138.68 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $126.31. Stop-loss: $126.31.

What are the risks of investing in MLI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is MLI overvalued or undervalued?

Mueller Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.9 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLI?

6 analysts cover MLI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $150.

What does Mueller Industries, Inc. do?Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of...

Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of products we manufacture is broad: copper tube and fittings; line sets; steel nipples; brass rod, bar, and shapes; aluminum and brass forgings; aluminum impact extrusions; refrigeration valves and fittings; compressed gas valves; pressure vessels; insulated flexible duct systems; and high-quality wire and cable solutions.

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