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Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $135.29 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away).

Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of products we manufacture is broad: copper tube and fittings; line sets; steel nipples; brass rod, bar, and shapes; aluminum and brass forgings; aluminum impact... Read more

$135.29+1.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 9 Metal Fabrication
Stop $126.43Target $136.89(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$149.50+10.5%2 analysts
$136.89our TP
$135.29price
$149.50mean
$150

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $135.29 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.1% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$14.7B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn19.4%
ROE28.3%
Rev Growth19.3%
Beta1.08
Dividend1.05%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$100-26.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $109.41Resistance $139.68

Price Targets

$126
$137
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $135.29 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $126.43. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $136.89 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $126.43. Stop-loss: $126.43.

What are the risks of investing in MLI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.1% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is MLI overvalued or undervalued?

Mueller Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLI?

6 analysts cover MLI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $150.

What does Mueller Industries, Inc. do?Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of...

Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of products we manufacture is broad: copper tube and fittings; line sets; steel nipples; brass rod, bar, and shapes; aluminum and brass forgings; aluminum impact extrusions; refrigeration valves and fittings; compressed gas valves; pressure vessels; insulated flexible duct systems; and high-quality wire and cable solutions.

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