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BXDCBlackstone Digital InfrastructuSell5.0·$19.32
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BXDC's weak quality score and negative operating margin contrast sharply with unusually large insider buying, making insider conviction the key signal to watch against otherwise soft fundamentals.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor And Value TrapImproving
  • Heavy Insider BuyingStable
  • Failed Momentum GateStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Blackstone Digital Infrastructu (BXDC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5ValueModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.32: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. is a newly organized company focused on acquiring and owning mission-critical data center assets that power the modern digital economy. BXDC targets newly-constructed, income-generating, stabilized data center properties leased to... Read more

$19.32+7.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#13 of 16 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield
Stop $18.53Target $20.72(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$23.82+23.3%11 analysts
$20.72our TP
$19.32price
$23.82mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.32: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-24

Recent Developments — Blackstone Digital Infrastructu

Generated 2026-09-24T09:57:04Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-73.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -369.1%), High leverage (D/E 4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)40.7
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
4.5
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Macd
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $19.10Resistance $21.27

Price Targets

$19
$21
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-73.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -369.1%), High leverage (D/E 4.8)
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BXDC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.32: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.53. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BXDC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.72 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $18.53. Stop-loss: $18.53.

What are the risks of investing in BXDC?

Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-73.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -369.1%), High leverage (D/E 4.8).

Is BXDC overvalued or undervalued?

Blackstone Digital Infrastructu trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 40.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BXDC?

18 analysts cover BXDC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Blackstone Digital Infrastructu do?Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. is a newly organized company focused on acquiring and owning...

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. is a newly organized company focused on acquiring and owning mission-critical data center assets that power the modern digital economy. BXDC targets newly-constructed, income-generating, stabilized data center properties leased to investment-grade hyperscale tenants on long-term contracts. Our investment strategy is designed to generate stable, long-term cash flows and deliver current income to shareholders, with growth potential through contractual rent escalations and accretive acquisition opportunities. BXDC is externally managed by an affiliate of Blackstone, the world's largest alternative asset manager and the largest financial investor in data center and digital infrastructure assets globally. Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. was incorporated in 2025 in Maryland and is based in New York.

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Benzinga51d ago