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UNITUniti Group Inc.Sell5.5·$11.49-1.63%
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Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.49 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Uniti Group is a digital infrastructure company formed via the August 2025 Windstream merger, operating ~240,000 fiber route miles across 47 states with 1.0M+ customers. Revenue of $2,234.5M in 2025 comes from Kinetic (ILEC broadband in 18 states, $928.4M), Uniti Solutions... Read more

$11.49+5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.18%
Stop $10.73Target $12.13(resistance)A.R:R -2.7:1
Analyst target$10.25-10.8%9 analysts
$12.13our TP
$11.49price
$10.25mean
$6
$16

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.49 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Outperforming peers
Margin of safety: 83%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 34.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.6
P/E (Fwd)-16.2
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn41.7%
ROE
Rev Growth236.0%
Beta1.42
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.53Resistance $12.38

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UNIT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.49 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $10.73. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the UNIT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.13 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $10.73. Stop-loss: $10.73.

What are the risks of investing in UNIT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 34.8): -1.5.

Is UNIT overvalued or undervalued?

Uniti Group Inc. trades at a P/E of 2.6 (forward -16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UNIT?

14 analysts cover UNIT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Uniti Group Inc. do?Uniti Group is a digital infrastructure company formed via the August 2025 Windstream merger, operating ~240,000 fiber...

Uniti Group is a digital infrastructure company formed via the August 2025 Windstream merger, operating ~240,000 fiber route miles across 47 states with 1.0M+ customers. Revenue of $2,234.5M in 2025 comes from Kinetic (ILEC broadband in 18 states, $928.4M), Uniti Solutions (enterprise managed services, $332.3M), and Fiber Infrastructure (legacy fiber and wholesale) segments.

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