Sunrun Inc. (RUN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Solar
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.17: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Sunrun is the nation's leading residential solar and storage provider, offering subscription-based solar energy via 20-25 year Customer Agreements and battery storage, serving residential homeowners. As of December 31, 2025, it had 8,404 MW Networked Solar Energy Capacity and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.17: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Sunrun Inc.
Latest news
- U.S. Solar Manufacturers Seek Commerce Department Probe Into Panel Imports From Ethiopia, Allege They Are Dodging Tariff — benzinga May 12, 2026 neutral
- Solar Subsidies Likely To Top Agenda At Trump-Xi Meeting — benzinga May 11, 2026 neutral
- TD Cowen Maintains Buy on Sunrun, Lowers Price Target to $21 — benzinga May 7, 2026 neutral
- Nasdaq 100 Climbs Records, Oil Extends Drop As Iran Weighs Hormuz Deal: Stock Market Today — benzinga May 7, 2026 neutral
- Earnings Scheduled For May 6, 2026 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia45%10-K Item 1A: 'California, which is one of our key markets and represents over 45% of our customer base, as of December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Volatile — 7.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.17: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $12.25. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $17.29 (+31.3% upside). Prior stop was $12.25. Stop-loss: $12.25.
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 17x vs trail 6x (2.7x); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -28.1%), Material insider selling (16 sells, 0.13% of cap).
Sunrun Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.3 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover RUN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $19.
What does Sunrun Inc. do?Sunrun is the nation's leading residential solar and storage provider, offering subscription-based solar energy via...
Sunrun is the nation's leading residential solar and storage provider, offering subscription-based solar energy via 20-25 year Customer Agreements and battery storage, serving residential homeowners. As of December 31, 2025, it had 8,404 MW Networked Solar Energy Capacity and Gross Earning Assets of ~$21.1B, financed through tax equity and debt.