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Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. (SHLS) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Solar

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.44: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.12; Below-average business quality.

Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. provides electrical balance of system (EBOS) solutions and components in the United States and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and sells various products used by the solar and battery storage industries, including solar big... Read more

$9.44+10.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 9 Solar
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-4.44%
Stop $8.63Target $10.29(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$9.84+4.3%19 analysts
$10.29our TP
$9.44price
$9.84mean
$7
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.44: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.12; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Shoals Technologies Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-4.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.4
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA18.9
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE5.8%
Rev Growth74.9%
Beta1.74
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.13bearish
IV96%elevated
Max Pain$1-89.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
1.9
Gross Margin
2.7
Net Margin
3.1
Operating Margin
3.3
Roa
3.6
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
6.5
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -206% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.06Resistance $10.50

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+9.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.44: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.12; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $8.63. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SHLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.29 (+10.9% upside). Prior stop was $8.63. Stop-loss: $8.63.

What are the risks of investing in SHLS?

Target reached (-4.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is SHLS overvalued or undervalued?

Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.4 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SHLS?

25 analysts cover SHLS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. do?Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. provides electrical balance of system (EBOS) solutions and components in the United...

Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. provides electrical balance of system (EBOS) solutions and components in the United States and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and sells various products used by the solar and battery storage industries, including solar big lead assembly (BLA) solutions; homeruns, interconnection, and extension solutions; combiners and re-combiners; load break disconnects and transition solutions; wireless performance monitoring; and battery energy storage solutions (BESS). It also offers original equipment manufacturer (OEM) components; and technical support services during installation and the transition to operations and maintenance. The company sells its products to engineering, procurement, and construction firms that build solar energy projects; utilities; solar developers, independent power producers; solar module manufacturers; and charge point operators. Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Portland, Tennessee.

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