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JKSJinkoSolar Holding Company LimiSell4.9·$12.01-1.48%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

JinkoSolar screens as deeply discounted with a PEG of 0.25 and 35.2% upside to the analyst target, but near-zero profitability across all margin and return metrics, a 12% revenue decline, and a confirmed death cross with a falling-knife technical classification make any investment case highly speculative pending demonstrated business stabilization.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline 12pct YoyStable
  • Near Zero Profitability Across MetricsStable
  • Distressed Valuation Peg Below HalfImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

JinkoSolar Holding Company Limi (JKS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Solar

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.01: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of photovoltaic products. The company provides solar modules, silicon wafers, solar cells, recovered silicon materials, and silicon ingots. It offers solar... Read more

$12.01+48.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#6 of 9 Solar
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield12.31%Payout388.48%at-risk
Stop $11.59Target $17.79(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$20.44+70.2%7 analysts
$17.79our TP
$12.01price
$20.44mean
$33

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.01: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 14, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05

Recent Developments — JinkoSolar Holding Company Limi

Generated 2026-09-05T21:17:37Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 16, 202671d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$627M
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn-5.9%
ROE
Rev Growth-31.3%
Beta0.48
Dividend12.31%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV71%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
4.4
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 14, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
8.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
1.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings History
5.6
News Activity
8.0
Estimates down -23.7% (30d)Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
14 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.95Resistance $17.30

Price Targets

$12
$18
A.Upside+48.5%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-16 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JKS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.01: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 14, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $11.59. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JKS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.79 (+48.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.59. Stop-loss: $11.59.

What are the risks of investing in JKS?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is JKS overvalued or undervalued?

JinkoSolar Holding Company Limi trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JKS?

15 analysts cover JKS with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $20.

What does JinkoSolar Holding Company Limi do?JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, production, and...

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of photovoltaic products. The company provides solar modules, silicon wafers, solar cells, recovered silicon materials, and silicon ingots. It offers solar system integration services; solar power generation and solar system EPC services; and energy storage system, as well as undertakes solar power projects. The company sells its products to distributors, project developers, system integrators, and manufacturers of solar power products under the JinkoSolar brand. As of December 31, 2025, it had an integrated annual capacity of 120 gigawatts (GW) for mono wafers; 95 GW for solar cells; and 130 GW for solar modules. It operates in China, the United States, India, Saudi Arabia, Australia, Pakistan, Brazil, Poland, Japan, Spain, and Germany. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Guangxin, the People's Republic of China.

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