Rapid7's perfect earnings beat streak and strong cash conversion are increasingly offset by falling analyst estimates, a confirmed price downtrend, and a negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to consider reducing the position.
Thesis pillars
- Excellent Cash Conversion Despite Quality Gaps→Stable
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- Falling Analyst Estimates↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026· older than 90 days
Rapid7, Inc. (RPD) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.04 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).
Rapid7 is a global cybersecurity operations software provider whose Command Platform unifies exposure management, threat detection, and managed detection and response (MDR) services for security operations teams. The company generated $859.8 million in revenue in 2025, up from... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.04 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Nov 2, 2026Recent Developments — Rapid7, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Okta, Zscaler, Qualys, Rapid7, and SentinelOne shares plummet, what you need to know - TradingView — TradingView Nov 2, 2026 negative
- NEWS Rapid7 stock may move 15% on Nov. 4 earnings release - Investing.com — Investing.com Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Why Has Rapid7 (NASDAQ:RPD) Advanced 61.01% in a Month? - kalkine.ca — kalkine.ca Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Shift of Sentiment: How It Affects Stock Prices | RPD for NASDAQ:RPD by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader - TradingView — TradingView Oct 27, 2026 neutral
- NEWS RPD 261120 30.00C (RPD261120C30000) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News - Moomoo — Moomoo Oct 27, 2026 neutral
Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T12:04:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMBoard appointed Wael Mohamed as CEO effective June 1, 2026, succeeding Corey Thomas, who becomes Executive Chairman; both continue serving as directors. Clean handoff with a named successor.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -1.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.04 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $13.99. Score 4.1/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $10.87 reached (−27.7% from $15.04); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $13.99. Stop-loss: $13.99.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Rapid7, Inc. trades at a P/E of 48.5 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
30 analysts rate RPD, with a consensus score of 2.7/5. 20 analysts publish price targets averaging $12.
What does Rapid7, Inc. do?Rapid7 is a global cybersecurity operations software provider whose Command Platform unifies exposure management,...
Rapid7 is a global cybersecurity operations software provider whose Command Platform unifies exposure management, threat detection, and managed detection and response (MDR) services for security operations teams. The company generated $859.8 million in revenue in 2025, up from $535.4 million in 2021 (a 13% CAGR), with recurring revenue at 96% of total revenue, serving more than 11,500 customers in 150 countries including 36% of the Fortune 100.