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ROCKGibraltar Industries, Inc.Sell5.8·$41.15+2.10%
ROCK · Why this verdict

Why Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.7
P/S9.7
EV/EBITDA2.9
Fwd P/E9.5
PEG8.8
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 8.5x
  • PEG: 0.70
  • Attractively valued

Quality

2.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE2.2
ROA2.6
Gross margin1.2
Op margin2.4
Net margin0.0
Current ratio5.2
Moat4.9
Piotroski F4.4
  • No competitive moat
  • Quality concerns

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 45% YoY

Momentum

5.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.7
MACD10.0
OBV10.0
MA position6.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

6.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target9.8
erm sentiment5.0
  • Analyst upside: 67%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.5/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank8.6
quality rank0.6
growth rank8.9
  • Attractive P/E vs peers
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

1.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger0.5
support resistance1.0
52w position1.0
gap5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

5.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest6.4
days to cover7.4
volatility1.8
put call10.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk5.0
beta6.0
debt equity3.9
  • High IV: 97%

Catalyst

3.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history1.1
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg1.3
  • Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (8)
  • MOMENTUM:5.9>=5.5
  • ASYMMETRY:2.8>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (1)
  • DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.9>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
2.79
Upside
+41.9%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.2B<$5B

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Growth at 10.0 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 8.0, and Sentiment at 6.6; the weakest are Technical at 1.9, Quality at 2.9, and Catalyst at 3.1. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.79 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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