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JJacobs Solutions Inc.Sell6.0·$124.82+0.20%
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Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $124.82: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Jacobs Solutions provides engineering, consulting, advisory, and program management services through two segments — Infrastructure & Advanced Facilities and a 65% stake in PA Consulting — serving clients across water, life sciences, transportation, energy, and critical... Read more

$124.82+14.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield3.48%
IncomeYield1.16%(5y avg 0.79%)Payout38.94%sustainable
Stop $116.12Target $142.44(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$158.27+26.8%15 analysts
$142.44our TP
$124.82price
$158.27mean
$181

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $124.82: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Jacobs Solutions Inc.

About Jacobs Solutions Inc.

Jacobs Solutions entered fiscal 2025 with a backlog of approximately $23.1 billion, distributed across Infrastructure & Advanced Facilities (I&AF) and a 65% stake in PA Consulting — the UK-based innovation and transformation consultancy acquired in March 2021. The U.S. federal government represented 8% of total revenue in fiscal 2025, with the balance drawn from infrastructure, water, life sciences, advanced manufacturing, and energy end markets across 40+ countries. Revenue splits approximately 68% cost-reimbursable and 32% fixed-price, and the company employs approximately 43,000 people globally.

Jacobs earns revenue through professional services engagements ranging from advisory and consulting to design, program delivery, and long-term facility operations. I&AF serves national, state, and local government clients in the U.S., Europe, U.K., Middle East, and Asia Pacific, as well as multinational private sector organizations. PA Consulting, with about 4,000 staff, serves seven sectors including defense and security, energy, government, and health across private and public clients — including Diageo, Microsoft, the U.K. Ministry of Defence, and National Highways. Fixed-price contracts expose Jacobs to cost-overrun risk: the 10-K notes that ambiguous specifications, supply chain delays, tariffs, and economic changes could cause losses on a project if costs exceed estimates. Competitors include AECOM, Tetra Tech, WSP, Arcadis, Bechtel, Accenture, Deloitte, KPMG, and McKinsey & Company.

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U.S. federal contracts carry elevated risk relative to private-sector engagements: they are subject to government audit, can be unilaterally terminated or insourced by federal employees, and are funded on an annual basis with no guaranteed multi-year appropriation. The 10-K notes that under-staffing of government departments — including from layoffs — could result in program cancellations, stop-work orders, or delayed payments. The 8% federal revenue share represents a residual exposure after the September 2024 Separation Transaction, which spun off the defense-heavy Critical Mission Solutions business into Amentum, listed on the NYSE as AMTM.

See also: Industrials · Engineering & Construction

From Jacobs Solutions Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.7
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$14.7B
EV/EBITDA17.4
Profit Mgn2.9%
ROE9.4%
Rev Growth27.0%
Beta0.68
Dividend1.16%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV44%normal
Max Pain$175+40.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerU.S. federal government8.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The U.S. federal government represented approximately 8% of our total revenue in fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-29Item 5.02LOW
    Director Diane Bryant resigned from the Jacobs Solutions Inc. board effective April 26, 2026. No disagreement with company operations, policies or practices cited. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.1
Bollinger
2.6
52w Position
4.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.2
Value Rank
6.3
Growth Rank
6.7

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.7
Net Margin
1.4
Roa
2.9
Roe
3.1
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
5.3
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
9.5
Excellent cash conversion: 134% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $109.49Resistance $128.90

Price Targets

$116
$142
A.Upside+14.1%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is J stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $124.82: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $116.12. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the J stock price target?

Take-profit target: $142.44 (+14.1% upside). Prior stop was $116.12. Stop-loss: $116.12.

What are the risks of investing in J?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is J overvalued or undervalued?

Jacobs Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.7 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about J?

25 analysts cover J with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $158.

What does Jacobs Solutions Inc. do?Jacobs Solutions provides engineering, consulting, advisory, and program management services through two segments —...

Jacobs Solutions provides engineering, consulting, advisory, and program management services through two segments — Infrastructure & Advanced Facilities and a 65% stake in PA Consulting — serving clients across water, life sciences, transportation, energy, and critical infrastructure in over 40 countries. The company holds approximately $23.1 billion in backlog with 68% of fiscal 2025 revenues from cost-reimbursable contracts and employs approximately 43,000 people.

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