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RLGTRadiant Logistics, Inc.Sell6.4·$8.81
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Radiant Logistics is a cheap small-cap (forward P/E 16.0x, PEG 0.27) with a strong earnings-beat record, but thin margins, 57% FCF/net income, 4.1x D/E and a -15.2% revenue decline keep quality at 3.3/10.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Margin Weak Quality→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Beats↑Improving
  • Revenue Decline Value Trap Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Sep 14, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Radiant Logistics, Inc. (RLGT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.81: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Radiant Logistics is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider offering air and ocean freight forwarding, truckload, LTL and intermodal brokerage, customs brokerage and supply chain services from over 100 locations in the U.S., Canada and Mexico, about 30 of them... Read more

$8.81+6.1% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 12 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.58%
Stop $8.37Analyst target $9.35(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst consensus$11.00+24.9%3 analysts
$9.35Analyst target
$8.81price
$11.00mean
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.81: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Radiant Logistics, Inc.

About Radiant Logistics, Inc.

Radiant Logistics operates more than 100 locations across the U.S. and Canada, roughly 30 of them company-owned and the remainder run by independent strategic operating partners under the Radiant, Airgroup, Adcom, DBA, Service by Air, and Navegate brands. Strategic operating partners generated approximately 42% of the company's consolidated adjusted gross profit in the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, down from 50% in fiscal 2024, following 33 acquisitions completed since Radiant's first, Airgroup, in January 2006.

As a non-asset-based logistics provider, Radiant owns minimal transportation equipment, instead arranging shipments through a network of motor carriers, railroads, airlines, and ocean lines and earning gross margin on the spread between what it charges customers and what it pays carriers. Freight forwarding and freight brokerage - covering truckload, less-than-truckload, and intermodal service - are managed centrally through service centers in Chicago, Illinois and Toronto, Ontario, complemented by materials management and distribution, customs house brokerage, and global trade management offerings. Strategic operating partners handle their own sales and operating costs while relying on Radiant for operating authority, technology, working-capital access, and collective purchasing power, under agreements ranging from fixed-term to evergreen or month-to-month arrangements terminable by the partner on notice. The company competes against integrated small-parcel carriers such as FedEx, DHL, and UPS on larger shipments, and continues migrating its legacy operating and accounting systems onto a common SAP-based platform.

Show full overview

Radiant's model depends entirely on outside carriers rather than owned assets: the company contracts with thousands of trucking, rail, ocean, and air providers and holds no equipment of its own, so carrier capacity shortages, bankruptcies, or price increases pass through directly to its margins. That third-party reliance extends to information systems - Radiant disclosed a ransomware incident in December 2021 and a separate cybersecurity incident affecting its Canadian operations in March 2024, both of which caused modest revenue loss and incremental costs before systems were restored to full functionality.

See also: Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

From Radiant Logistics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-27

Recent Developments — Radiant Logistics, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-06T10:12:10Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-15.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 4.1)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.6
P/E (Fwd)16.2
Mkt Cap$414M
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn2.0%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth18.5%
Beta0.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartystrategic operating partners
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 42% of our consolidated adjusted gross profit ... was derived through our strategic operating partners'
  • MEDIUMSupplierthird-party carriers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on third-party carriers to transport our customers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-09-03Item 5.02LOW
    Appointed David Buss, formerly CEO North America Cluster at DB Schenker, as Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer effective August 31, 2026, with a $250,000 annual base salary. New role, no departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.9
Net Margin
1.0
Roa
1.8
Roe
2.7
Fcf Quality
4.5
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
5.8
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality warning: 57% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.48Resistance $9.55

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-15.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 4.1)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RLGT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.81: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.37. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RLGT stock price target?

Analyst target: $9.35 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $8.37. Stop-loss: $8.37.

What are the risks of investing in RLGT?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-15.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 4.1).

Is RLGT overvalued or undervalued?

Radiant Logistics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.6 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RLGT?

9 analysts cover RLGT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Radiant Logistics, Inc. do?Radiant Logistics is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider offering air and ocean freight forwarding,...

Radiant Logistics is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider offering air and ocean freight forwarding, truckload, LTL and intermodal brokerage, customs brokerage and supply chain services from over 100 locations in the U.S., Canada and Mexico, about 30 of them Company-owned. Independent strategic operating partners generated about 42% of adjusted gross profit. No customer or partner exceeded 10% of revenue.

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