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RLGTRadiant Logistics, Inc.Sell5.7·$8.84-2.43%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Radiant Logistics just triggered a bullish golden-cross breakout backed by strong cash conversion, but the stock has already run past its analyst target, turning near-term asymmetry negative, and recent insider selling adds a cautionary signal.

Thesis pillars

  • Golden Cross Breakout SetupStable
  • Strong Cash Conversion ValueStable
  • Target Reached Negative AsymmetryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Radiant Logistics, Inc. (RLGT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.84: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Radiant Logistics is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider offering domestic and international freight forwarding, freight brokerage, and value-added services (materials management, customs brokerage, global trade management) across over 100 operating locations in the... Read more

$8.84-1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 13 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.37%
Stop $8.45Target $9.49(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$10.25+16.0%2 analysts
$9.49our TP
$8.84price
$10.25mean
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.84: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Radiant Logistics, Inc.

About Radiant Logistics, Inc.

Radiant Logistics operates more than 100 locations across the U.S. and Canada, roughly 30 of them company-owned and the remainder run by independent strategic operating partners under the Radiant, Airgroup, Adcom, DBA, Service by Air, and Navegate brands. Strategic operating partners generated approximately 42% of the company's consolidated adjusted gross profit in the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, down from 50% in fiscal 2024, following 33 acquisitions completed since Radiant's first, Airgroup, in January 2006.

As a non-asset-based logistics provider, Radiant owns minimal transportation equipment, instead arranging shipments through a network of motor carriers, railroads, airlines, and ocean lines and earning gross margin on the spread between what it charges customers and what it pays carriers. Freight forwarding and freight brokerage - covering truckload, less-than-truckload, and intermodal service - are managed centrally through service centers in Chicago, Illinois and Toronto, Ontario, complemented by materials management and distribution, customs house brokerage, and global trade management offerings. Strategic operating partners handle their own sales and operating costs while relying on Radiant for operating authority, technology, working-capital access, and collective purchasing power, under agreements ranging from fixed-term to evergreen or month-to-month arrangements terminable by the partner on notice. The company competes against integrated small-parcel carriers such as FedEx, DHL, and UPS on larger shipments, and continues migrating its legacy operating and accounting systems onto a common SAP-based platform.

Show full overview

Radiant's model depends entirely on outside carriers rather than owned assets: the company contracts with thousands of trucking, rail, ocean, and air providers and holds no equipment of its own, so carrier capacity shortages, bankruptcies, or price increases pass through directly to its margins. That third-party reliance extends to information systems - Radiant disclosed a ransomware incident in December 2021 and a separate cybersecurity incident affecting its Canadian operations in March 2024, both of which caused modest revenue loss and incremental costs before systems were restored to full functionality.

See also: Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

From Radiant Logistics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Sep 14, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -104.2%), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.6
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$414M
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE7.0%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta0.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Macd
2.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.4
Uptrend pullback (RSI 31) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.5
Net Margin
0.9
Roa
1.6
Roe
2.3
Moat
4.5
Current Ratio
5.8
Piotroski F
8.9
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 163% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.16%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.71Resistance $9.68

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -104.2%), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-14 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RLGT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.84: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.45. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RLGT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.49 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $8.45. Stop-loss: $8.45.

What are the risks of investing in RLGT?

Target reached (-1.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -104.2%), Negative free cash flow.

Is RLGT overvalued or undervalued?

Radiant Logistics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.6 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RLGT?

8 analysts cover RLGT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Radiant Logistics, Inc. do?Radiant Logistics is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider offering domestic and international freight...

Radiant Logistics is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider offering domestic and international freight forwarding, freight brokerage, and value-added services (materials management, customs brokerage, global trade management) across over 100 operating locations in the U.S. and Canada, split between about 30 company-owned sites and independent strategic operating partners. The company earns gross margin on the spread between customer freight charges and payments to carriers, serving a diversified base with no single customer or operating partner exceeding 10% of consolidated revenue.

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