Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the HUBG stock price target?

Take-profit $44.31 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $39.92.

Q: Is HUBG overvalued or undervalued?

Hub Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.6 (forward 21.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about HUBG?

23 analysts cover HUBG with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $43.

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Hub Group is a North American supply chain solutions provider generating ~$4B annual revenue through Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (57% of 2024 revenue) and Logistics segments serving retail, consumer products, and industrial customers. Revenue comes from freight... Read more

$42.92+3.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#7 of 10 Integrated Freight & Logistics

Stop $39.92Target $44.31(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1

Analyst target$42.73-0.4%15 analysts

$44.31our TP

$42.92price

$42.73mean

$29

$55

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Product: Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (57.0%)

Target reached (-10.4% upside)

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.6

P/E (Fwd)21.4

Mkt Cap$2.6B

EV/EBITDA9.2

Profit Mgn2.8%

ROE6.2%

Rev Growth-5.3%

Beta1.16

Dividend1.17%

Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.67bearish

IV100%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHProductIntermodal and Transportation Solutions57%
10-K Item 1A: 'We derived 57% of our revenue from our Intermodal and Transportation Solutions in 2024'
MEDIUMCustomer10 largest customers44%
10-K Item 1A: 'Our 10 largest customers accounted for approximately 44% of our total revenue in 2024'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-05Item 4.02HIGH
Audit Committee concluded Q1, Q2, Q3 2025 financial statements should not be relied upon due to error understating purchased transportation costs and accounts payable in first nine months of 2025. Restatement required.
SEC filing →
2026-03-24Item 3.01HIGH
Nasdaq notified Hub Group of non-compliance with Listing Rule 5250(c)(1) for failure to timely file 2025 Form 10-K. No immediate effect on listing; Company has cure period to regain compliance.
SEC filing →
2026-03-24Item 1.01LOW
First Amendment to Credit Agreement and Waiver executed March 23, 2026 with lenders to extend deadline for required financial statements and waive defaults from delayed 10-K filing.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.515%0.82

Quality3.215%0.48

Growth3.615%0.54

Momentum6.710%0.67

Sentiment5.810%0.58

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.610%0.36

Technical Setup3.95%0.20

Risk Profile4.65%0.23

Catalyst6.95%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)4.73

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

1.4

Operating Margin

1.7

Roe

2.1

Roa

2.1

Fcf Quality

4.4

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

5.4

Piotroski F

6.7

Earnings quality warning: 56% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Revenue shrinking — -5.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

1.2

Earnings Growth

6.1

Declining revenue: -5%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

1.6

Growth Rank

2.0

Value Rank

6.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance

2.4

Bollinger

3.2

52w Position

6.2

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

71 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.73Resistance $45.21

Price Targets

$40

$44

A.Upside+3.2%

A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.4% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-03-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HUBG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $39.92. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HUBG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.31 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $39.92. Stop-loss: $39.92.

What are the risks of investing in HUBG?

Concentration risk — Product: Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (57.0%); Target reached (-10.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is HUBG overvalued or undervalued?

Hub Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.6 (forward 21.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HUBG?

23 analysts cover HUBG with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Hub Group, Inc. do?Hub Group is a North American supply chain solutions provider generating ~$4B annual revenue through Intermodal and...