Rivian is an early-stage electric vehicle manufacturer with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and 24% free cash flow losses relative to revenue, but has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and maintains strong positive news sentiment with an LLM sentiment score of +0.44.
Thesis pillars
- Supply Chain Concentration Risk→Stable
- Earnings Beat In Loss Phase↑Improving
- Positive News Momentum↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026· older than 90 days
Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.06: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality.
Rivian Automotive manufactures battery-electric vehicles at its Normal, Illinois plant — capacity up to 215,000 units annually across R1T, R1S, and Electric Delivery Van platforms — selling directly to consumer and commercial customers in two segments: Automotive and Software... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.06: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS UAW Adjusts Organizing Strategy at Rivian's Normal Plant — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Rivian Automotive Stock Is Gaining Wednesday: What's Going On? — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Analysts Update Ratings and Price Targets for Rivian — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 10 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session — benzinga Nov 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Why Is Rivian Stock Surging on Monday? — benzinga Nov 2, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerone customer affiliate of principal stockholder10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our automotive revenues has been from one customer that is an affiliate of one of our principal stockholders'
- MEDIUMCustomerVolkswagen Group10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our software and services revenues has been from Volkswagen Group'
- HIGHSuppliersingle- or limited-source suppliers10-K Item 1: 'hundreds of mostly single- or limited-source suppliers, for which no immediate or readily available alternative supplier exists'
- MEDIUMSupplierbattery raw materials (lithium, nickel, graphite, cobalt)10-K Item 1: 'Battery raw materials, including lithium, nickel, graphite, and cobalt, represent one of the most vulnerable parts of our supply chain'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.06: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $13.08. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $16.34 (+16.2% upside). Prior stop was $13.08. Stop-loss: $13.08.
Concentration risk — Supplier: single- or limited-source suppliers; Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).
Rivian Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
34 analysts rate RIVN, with a consensus score of 3.6/5. 25 analysts publish price targets averaging $18.
What does Rivian Automotive, Inc. do?Rivian Automotive manufactures battery-electric vehicles at its Normal, Illinois plant — capacity up to 215,000 units...
Rivian Automotive manufactures battery-electric vehicles at its Normal, Illinois plant — capacity up to 215,000 units annually across R1T, R1S, and Electric Delivery Van platforms — selling directly to consumer and commercial customers in two segments: Automotive and Software and Services. Amazon holds an initial order of 100,000 EDVs globally; a joint venture with Volkswagen Group licenses Rivian's software and electrical architecture across VW brands.