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Ferrari N.V. (RACE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $344.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in design, engineering, production, and sale of luxury performance sports cars worldwide. It offers sports, track, one-off, and road cars, as well as supercars. The company also provides spare parts and engines, as well as after... Read more

$344.08+12.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#10 of 16 Auto Manufacturers
Stop $328.40Target $388.29(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$446.31+29.7%14 analysts
$388.29our TP
$344.08price
$446.31mean
$537

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $344.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: conservative.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.1
P/E (Fwd)26.8
Mkt Cap$59.5B
EV/EBITDA25.5
Profit Mgn22.3%
ROE42.9%
Rev Growth3.8%
Beta0.60
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$280-18.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.0
Revenue Growth
3.5

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.3
Pe
4.0
Ps
4.6
Forward Pe
4.6
Analyst Target
6.0
Forward P/E: 26.8xPEG: 3.72
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Conservative
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $328.19Resistance $377.09

Price Targets

$328
$388
A.Upside+12.8%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RACE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $344.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $328.40. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RACE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $388.29 (+12.8% upside). Prior stop was $328.40. Stop-loss: $328.40.

What are the risks of investing in RACE?

Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Expensive valuation.

Is RACE overvalued or undervalued?

Ferrari N.V. trades at a P/E of 32.1 (forward 26.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RACE?

27 analysts cover RACE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $446.

What does Ferrari N.V. do?Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in design, engineering, production, and sale of luxury performance...

Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in design, engineering, production, and sale of luxury performance sports cars worldwide. It offers sports, track, one-off, and road cars, as well as supercars. The company also provides spare parts and engines, as well as after sales, repair, maintenance, and restoration services for cars; and licenses its Ferrari brand to various producers and retailers of luxury and lifestyle goods. In addition, it operates Ferrari museums in Modena and Maranello; Il Cavallino restaurant in Maranello; and theme parks in Abu Dhabi and Spain. Further, the company provides direct or indirect finance and leasing services; range of financial and ancillary services; special financing arrangements; and operates franchised and owned Ferrari stores. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Maranello, Italy.

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