Ferrari is an exceptional business with the highest Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a 42% ROE, and rising earnings estimates, but it trades at a forward P/E of 29.7x with only 4.4% upside to the analyst target, and two consecutive modest earnings misses raise questions about whether the premium valuation is sustainable.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Piotroski Financial Strength→Stable
- Rich Valuation Limited Upside↑Improving
- Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Ferrari N.V. (RACE) Stock Analysis
Temporary headwind edge
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $360.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).
Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in design, engineering, production, and sale of luxury performance sports cars worldwide. It offers sports, track, one-off, and road cars, as well as supercars. The company also provides spare parts and engines, as well as after... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $360.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Ferrari N.V.
Latest news
- NEWS MARIETTA INVESTMENT PARTNERS LLC's Ferrari NV(RACE) Holding History - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS FERRARI N.V.: PERIODIC REPORT ON THE BUYBACK PROGRAM FERRARI N.V. - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS Dinari joins crypto lobby as U.S. tokenized stock race heats up - Crypto News — Crypto News neutral
- NEWS Ferrari: Strong Start Reinforces Investment Case Despite Market Weakness (RACE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Ferrari Advances €3.5 Billion Buyback With New Tranche Activity in April 2026 - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
Generated 2026-07-27T11:13:01Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $360.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $344.74. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $386.53 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $344.74. Stop-loss: $344.74.
Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Ferrari N.V. trades at a P/E of 35.1 (forward 29.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
26 analysts cover RACE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $444.
What does Ferrari N.V. do?Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in design, engineering, production, and sale of luxury performance...
Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in design, engineering, production, and sale of luxury performance sports cars worldwide. It offers sports, track, one-off, and road cars, as well as supercars. The company also provides spare parts and engines, as well as after sales, repair, maintenance, and restoration services for cars; and licenses its Ferrari brand to various producers and retailers of luxury and lifestyle goods. In addition, it operates Ferrari museums in Modena and Maranello; Il Cavallino restaurant in Maranello; and theme parks in Abu Dhabi and Spain. Further, the company provides direct or indirect finance and leasing services; range of financial and ancillary services; special financing arrangements; and operates franchised and owned Ferrari stores. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Maranello, Italy.