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Rio Tinto Plc (RIO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. The company operates through Iron Ore; Aluminium and lithium; and Copper segments. The Iron Ore segment engages in the iron ore mining, and salt and gypsum production in Western Australia.... Read more

$100.92+9.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 21 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.08%
IncomeYield3.89%(5y avg 7.62%)Payout61.31%
Stop $94.34Target $110.33(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$101.30+0.4%7 analysts
$110.33our TP
$100.92price
$101.30mean
$84
$125

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Rio Tinto Plc

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.0
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$168.0B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn17.3%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth14.6%
Beta0.63
Dividend3.89%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $96.37Resistance $112.58

Price Targets

$94
$110
A.Upside+9.3%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.7% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for RIO.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RIO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $110.33 (+9.3%), stop $94.34 (−7.0%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RIO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.33 (+9.3% upside). Target $110.33 (+9.3%), stop $94.34 (−7.0%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Stop-loss: $94.34.

What are the risks of investing in RIO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is RIO overvalued or undervalued?

Rio Tinto Plc trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RIO?

33 analysts cover RIO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Rio Tinto Plc do?Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. The company operates through...

Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. The company operates through Iron Ore; Aluminium and lithium; and Copper segments. The Iron Ore segment engages in the iron ore mining, and salt and gypsum production in Western Australia. The Aluminum and lithium segment is involved in bauxite mining; alumina refining; and aluminium smelting, and recycling, as well as mining and processing of lithium. The Copper segment engages in mining and refining of copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other by-products and exploration activities. It also owns and operates open pit and underground mines; and refineries, smelters, processing plants and power, and shipping facilities. The company was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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