Skip to main content
RDWRRadware Ltd.Sell5.5·$33.60
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Radware has beaten earnings in three of the last four quarters with strong free cash flow conversion of 166% of net income and a solid Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9 — but the stock is priced above analyst targets with negative price asymmetry, and despite these operational strengths, the Rule of 40 score of only 21 indicates the combined growth and profitability profile does not meet the threshold for elite software business classification.

Thesis pillars

  • Rule Of 40 Below Threshold→Stable
  • Strong Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Radware Ltd. (RDWR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. At $33.60, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Radware Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets cyber security and application delivery solutions for cloud, on-premises, and software defined data centers. The company operates in two segments, Radware's Core Business and The Hawks' Business.... Read more

$33.60+5.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#63 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.84%
Stop $31.25Analyst target $35.27(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst consensus$41.50+23.5%2 analysts with price targets
$35.27Analyst target
$33.60price
$41.50mean
$43

Sell if holding. At $33.60, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Radware Ltd.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:54:39Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 10, 202798d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.0%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)71.5
P/E (Fwd)23.8
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA67.6
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE3.6%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.81
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C2.28bearish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.21%=MODERATEMomentum 5.6>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.29Resistance $38.50

Price Targets

$31
$35
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-10 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RDWR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $33.60, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $31.25. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RDWR stock price target?

Analyst target: $35.27 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $31.25. Stop-loss: $31.25.

What are the risks of investing in RDWR?

Thin upside margin: 5.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is RDWR overvalued or undervalued?

Radware Ltd. trades at a P/E of 71.5 (forward 23.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RDWR?

9 analysts rate RDWR, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $42.

What does Radware Ltd. do?Radware Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets cyber security and application...

Radware Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets cyber security and application delivery solutions for cloud, on-premises, and software defined data centers. The company operates in two segments, Radware's Core Business and The Hawks' Business. It offers cloud application protection service, cloud WAF, bot manager, API protection, web DDoS protection, client-side protection, threat intelligence, Kubernetes WAAP, and Alteon integrated WAF; cloud DDoS protection service, web DDoS protection defencepro X, cyber controller, AI SOC Xpert, and firewall-as-a-service; and Alteon, linkproof NG, and SSL inspection services. The company serves healthcare, government, online business, SaaS, education, open banking, MSSP solutions, and financial services through independent distributors, which include value added resellers, original equipment manufacturers, and system integrators. It operates in the United States, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. Radware Ltd. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Related stocks: PICS (PicS N.V.) · DLO (DLocal Limited) · PAY (Paymentus Holdings, Inc.) · RELY (Remitly Global, Inc.) · PAYP (PayPay Corporation - American D)
Home › Stocks › RDWR

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat98d agoEarnings
MarketBeat98d agoEarnings
MarketBeat98d ago
Marketscreener.com98d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative98d agoEarnings
Quiverquant.com98d agoEarnings
MarketBeat98d ago
MarketBeat98d ago
TradingKey98d ago
Newser189d ago
TradingKey7d ago
MarketBeat7d ago
Benzinga7d ago
Quiver Quantitative7d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com7d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance8d ago
TradingView105d ago
MarketBeat105d agoEarnings
Www.dars.gov.et14d ago
Www.dars.gov.et14d ago
Loading more...