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TEOTelecom Argentina SASell5.6·$13.02
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Telecom Argentina generates 30% revenue growth with a Rule of 40 score of 41, exceptional free cash flow at 270% of net income, and a Piotroski financial health score of 8 out of 9 at a price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.03 — but has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and the stock has already exceeded the analyst price target.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash And Growth Combination→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation At High Growth↑Improving
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss Pattern↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) Stock Analysis

SellValueModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. At $13.02, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile and the United States. The company offers mobile telecommunications services, including voice communications, high-speed mobile internet content... Read more

$13.02+4.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#18 of 42 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield14063.62%
IncomeYield0.31%(5y avg 6.78%)Payout3.39%sustainable
Stop $12.40Target $13.65(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$15.69+20.5%5 analysts
$13.65our TP
$13.02price
$15.69mean
$9
$21

Sell if holding. At $13.02, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.8%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.0
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA2.0
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta0.33
Dividend0.31%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
3.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Obv
5.6
Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.78Resistance $14.35

Price Targets

$12
$14
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $13.02, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.40. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.65 (+4.8% upside). Prior stop was $12.40. Stop-loss: $12.40.

What are the risks of investing in TEO?

Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is TEO overvalued or undervalued?

Telecom Argentina SA trades at a P/E of 11.0 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEO?

6 analysts cover TEO with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Telecom Argentina SA do?Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay,...

Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile and the United States. The company offers mobile telecommunications services, including voice communications, high-speed mobile internet content and applications download, online streaming, and other services; and sells mobile communication devices, such as handsets, modems, MiFi and wingles, and smartwatches. It also offers internet connectivity products, including virtual private network services, traditional internet protocol links, and other products; and programming and other cable television services. In addition, the company provides telephone services, including local, domestic, and international long-distance telephone services, as well as public telephone services; and other related supplementary services, such as call waiting, call forwarding, conference calls, caller ID, voice mail, itemized billing, and maintenance services. Further, it offers infrastructure, interconnection, datacenter, internet, value added, and international long-distance services; and data services, including data transmission, virtual private networks, symmetric internet access, national and international signal transport, and videoconferencing services; Personal Pay, a digital wallet service. The company also offers broadcasting, cable television, financial, cybersecurity, ICT services and audiovisual communication, content platform and related services; security solutions and services; closed-circuit and community closed-circuit television, as well as investment and consulting services. The company was formerly known as Cablevisión S.A. and changed its name to Telecom Argentina S.A. in January 2018. Telecom Argentina S.A. was founded in 1979 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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