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RCELAvita Medical, Inc.Sell5.1·$13.36
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Avita Medical, Inc. (RCEL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.36: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

AVITA Medical, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a therapeutic acute wound care company in the United States, Japan, the European Union, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The company's lead product is the RECELL System, a cell harvesting device used for the... Read more

$13.36-13.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#53 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-3.23%
Stop $12.42Target $15.36(default +15%)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$13.53+1.3%3 analysts
$15.36our TP
$13.36price
$13.53mean
$12
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.36: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-14

Recent Developments — Avita Medical, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-10-14T11:47:17Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-13.9% upside)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-31.8
Mkt Cap$413M
EV/EBITDA-13.8
Profit Mgn-57.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth17.8%
Beta1.99
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV109%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -57.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
1.7
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
7.0
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -18% of revenueRule of 40: 0 (fail)Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
3.0
Growth Rank
6.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
80 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.09Resistance $13.73

Price Targets

$12
$15
A.Upside-13.9%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RCEL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.36: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.42. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RCEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.36 (-13.9% upside). Prior stop was $12.42. Stop-loss: $12.42.

What are the risks of investing in RCEL?

Target reached (-13.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is RCEL overvalued or undervalued?

Avita Medical, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -31.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RCEL?

10 analysts cover RCEL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Avita Medical, Inc. do?AVITA Medical, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a therapeutic acute wound care company in the United...

AVITA Medical, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a therapeutic acute wound care company in the United States, Japan, the European Union, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The company's lead product is the RECELL System, a cell harvesting device used for the treatment of thermal burn wounds and full-thickness skin defects, as well as for repigmentation of stable depigmented vitiligo lesions. It also provides RECALL autologous cell harvesting device, which can treat areas of up to 1,920 cm2; RECELL autologous cell harvesting device with ease-of-use, an enhanced ease-of-use device that can treat areas of up to 1,920 cm²; and RECELL GO mini autologous cell harvesting device, a line extension of the RECELL GO system to treat smaller wounds up to 480 cm2, as well as RECELL GO autologous cell harvesting device consisting of RECELL GO processing device, which controls and manages the pressure applied to disaggregate the donor skin cells and controls the incubation time of the RECELL Enzyme to optimize cell yield and promote cell viability; and RECELL GO preparation kit, which can treat areas up to 1,920 cm2. In addition, the company sells and distributes PermeaDerm, a biosynthetic wound matrix and Cohealyx, a collagen-based dermal matrix. It serves hospitals, treatment centers, and distributors. The company was formerly known as AVITA Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to AVITA Medical, Inc. in December 2020. AVITA Medical, Inc. is headquartered in Valencia, California.

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Latest News

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