Value
4.4/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 6.6 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
RCEL · Why this verdict
Why Avita Medical (RCEL) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 1.7 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 7.0 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -18% of revenue
- ▸Rule of 40: 0 (fail)
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
7.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.0 |
Momentum
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.0 |
| MACD | 7.1 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 2.6 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 80)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.8 |
| Analyst rating | 6.8 |
| Price target | 5.2 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.35 (n=2)
- ▸Light analyst coverage (3.0) — signal dampened
Insider
6.7/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
| notable moves | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
3.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.0 |
| quality rank | 0.8 |
| growth rank | 6.9 |
Technical
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.8 |
| support resistance | 1.0 |
| 52w position | 9.5 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.3 |
| days to cover | 0.1 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 3.4 |
| news risk | 6.0 |
- ▸High IV: 145%
- ▸Above max pain $2
Catalyst
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCK:QUALITY_FLOORPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.5>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_BOOST:ANALYST:0.70
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:22d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.9=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.93
Upside
-13.9%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAggressive — Beta 1.99>1.3, MCap $0.4B<$5B
Investment implication
The SELL_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects the ASYMMETRY gate's -0.9=NEGATIVE outcome against Growth at 7.0 and asymmetric R:R of -0.93.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 7.0, Insider at 6.7, and Momentum at 6.5; the weakest are Quality at 2.9, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.5, and Catalyst at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.93 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.