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SENSSenseonics Holdings, Inc.Sell6.3·$8.59
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Senseonics is more than doubling revenue (118% YoY) with insider buying and 38.4% upside to the analyst target, but it burns cash at 122% of revenue, has missed EPS estimates four quarters in a row and reports earnings in 1 day.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue More Than Doubling→Stable
  • Cash Burn Funding Risk→Stable
  • Persistent Small Eps Misses↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 8, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Senseonics Holdings, Inc. (SENS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-09). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.59: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Senseonics develops and commercializes Eversense, a long-term implantable continuous glucose monitoring system for people with diabetes, with sensors lasting up to 365 days versus 7-15 days for typical non-implantable CGMs. The company sells through distributors and fulfillment... Read more

$8.59+38.4% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#7 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-13.04%
Stop $7.99Analyst target $11.89(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst consensus$13.67+59.1%6 analysts with price targets
$11.89Analyst target
$8.59price
$13.67mean
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.59: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Senseonics Holdings, Inc.

About Senseonics Holdings, Inc.

Senseonics markets Eversense E3 and Eversense 365, implantable continuous glucose monitors FDA-approved in September 2024 (365-day version) that measure glucose for up to a year versus 7 to 15 days for non-implantable CGMs. The company depends on this single product line for essentially all revenue, and as of January 1, 2026 resumed direct U.S. commercial responsibility from longtime partner Ascensia. Senseonics reported a $69.1 million net loss in 2025 against a $1.0 billion accumulated deficit.

Senseonics earns net revenue from sales of the Eversense sensor pack, smart transmitter pack, and, in some cases, procedure fees for insertion and removal, sold primarily through a network of distributors and strategic fulfillment partners who bill insurance payors, supplemented by a consignment model with healthcare professionals. Reimbursement coverage is central to adoption: Eversense became the first CGM reimbursed under Medicare Part B in November 2019, and the company has secured positive coverage decisions reaching approximately 300 million covered lives in the U.S., including UnitedHealthcare. The company outsources all manufacturing to third-party contract manufacturers, having no in-house production facilities or direct manufacturing personnel of its own. Looking ahead, Senseonics is developing its next-generation Gemini sensor (IDE-approved trial begun December 2025) and has partnered with Sequel Med Tech to integrate Eversense 365 into an automated insulin delivery system, with the first commercial patients starting on the combined system in January 2026.

Show full overview

The manufacturing dependency disclosed in Item 1A is structural, not incidental: Senseonics states it does not have any manufacturing facilities or direct manufacturing personnel and currently relies, and expects to continue relying, on third parties for the manufacture of Eversense for both commercial sale and future CGM product development. The 10-K frames loss of key suppliers or disruption to their facilities as a direct threat to gross margins and operating results, with no named backup manufacturer disclosed in this section. That concentration compounds the company's admitted single-product dependency — Senseonics states plainly that it is dependent on one product, Eversense — meaning a manufacturing disruption and a demand shortfall would hit the same, undiversified revenue stream simultaneously.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Senseonics Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 23, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Senseonics Holdings, Inc.

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-09T11:33:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Eversense
Concentration risk — Supplier: third-party manufacturers
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-4.4
Mkt Cap$454M
EV/EBITDA-3.5
Profit Mgn-225.3%
ROE-118.2%
Rev Growth117.8%
Beta1.03
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV144%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductEversense
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on one product, Eversense. Our success depends on our ability to continue to develop, commercialize and gain market acceptance for our products.'
  • HIGHSupplierthird-party manufacturers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We do not have any manufacturing facilities or direct manufacturing personnel. ... We currently rely, and expect to continue to rely, on third parties for the manufacture of Eversense'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.6
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings today

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
1.1
Growth Rank
9.8
Industry growth leader

Unprofitable operations — net margin -225.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
6.3
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
7.0
Cash-burning: FCF -122% of revenue
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 7.0>=5.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.25Resistance $9.75

Price Targets

$8
$12
A.Upside+38.4%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SENS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.59: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.99. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SENS stock price target?

Analyst target: $11.89 (+38.4% upside). Prior stop was $7.99. Stop-loss: $7.99.

What are the risks of investing in SENS?

Concentration risk — Product: Eversense; Concentration risk — Supplier: third-party manufacturers; Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is SENS overvalued or undervalued?

Senseonics Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SENS?

13 analysts rate SENS, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $14.

What does Senseonics Holdings, Inc. do?Senseonics develops and commercializes Eversense, a long-term implantable continuous glucose monitoring system for...

Senseonics develops and commercializes Eversense, a long-term implantable continuous glucose monitoring system for people with diabetes, with sensors lasting up to 365 days versus 7-15 days for typical non-implantable CGMs. The company sells through distributors and fulfillment partners who invoice insurance payors, and as of January 2026 resumed direct U.S. commercial responsibility after previously relying on Ascensia Diabetes Care as its exclusive worldwide distributor.

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