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DXPEDXP Enterprises, Inc.Sell5.7·$166.19-1.12%
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DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $166.19 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

DXP Enterprises distributes MRO products, equipment, and services through three segments — Service Centers ($1.37 billion), Innovative Pumping Solutions ($390 million), and Supply Chain Services ($253 million) — generating $2.016 billion in 2025 revenues across industrial,... Read more

$166.19+2.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 17 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.87%
Stop $154.56Target $169.83(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$158.50-4.6%2 analysts
$169.83our TP
$166.19price
$158.50mean
$157
$170

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $166.19 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About DXP Enterprises, Inc.

About DXP Enterprises, Inc.

DXP Enterprises generated $2.016 billion in total sales in 2025, with Service Centers contributing $1.373 billion, Innovative Pumping Solutions $390 million, and Supply Chain Services $253 million across 293 locations in 39 U.S. states, nine Canadian provinces, and facilities in the UAE, India, and Saudi Arabia. The company employs 3,286 people and completed six acquisitions in 2025 for combined consideration of $79.2 million.

DXP earns the majority of revenue from product sales — over 90% of business — distributing more than 1,000,000 items (60,000+ SKUs) in five core categories: rotating equipment, bearings and power transmission, industrial supplies, metal working, and safety products and services. Service Centers sell and deliver MRO products to oil and gas, chemical, manufacturing, and water/wastewater customers as a first-tier distributor purchasing directly from manufacturers. The IPS segment fabricates custom pump packages and remanufactured pumps, entering fiscal 2026 with a backlog of $325.0 million versus $292.2 million a year earlier. SCS manages supply chain procurement on-site at 89 customer facilities under long-term contracts cancellable on little or no notice. DXP holds distribution authorizations from manufacturers that are subject to cancellation on little or no notice; no single customer represented 10% or more of revenues in any of the last three fiscal years.

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DXP's exposure to the oil and gas capital expenditure cycle is a defining cyclicality risk: the company's revenue fell from $1.265 billion in 2019 to $1.005 billion in 2020 — a 21% contraction — coinciding with the prior crude oil price downturn. The 10-K discloses the company could be adversely impacted by low oil prices, volatility in oil prices and downturns in the energy industry, including decreased capital expenditures. Separately, distribution rights for manufacturer product lines are subject to cancellation upon little or no prior notice, creating an exposure where a key supplier termination could disrupt revenues before alternative sources can be established.

See also: Industrials · Industrial Distribution

From DXP Enterprises, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.5
P/E (Fwd)22.4
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE18.4%
Rev Growth9.5%
Beta1.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$230+38.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierkey supplier distribution rights
    10-K Item 1A: 'we have distribution rights for certain product lines and depend on these distribution rights for a substantial portion of our business'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.6
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $137.34Resistance $173.30

Price Targets

$155
$170
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DXPE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $166.19 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $154.56. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DXPE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $169.83 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $154.56. Stop-loss: $154.56.

What are the risks of investing in DXPE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is DXPE overvalued or undervalued?

DXP Enterprises, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.5 (forward 22.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DXPE?

9 analysts cover DXPE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $159.

What does DXP Enterprises, Inc. do?DXP Enterprises distributes MRO products, equipment, and services through three segments — Service Centers ($1.37...

DXP Enterprises distributes MRO products, equipment, and services through three segments — Service Centers ($1.37 billion), Innovative Pumping Solutions ($390 million), and Supply Chain Services ($253 million) — generating $2.016 billion in 2025 revenues across industrial, energy, food and beverage, chemical, and water/wastewater customers in the U.S. and internationally. No single customer exceeded 10% of revenues; revenue from product sales represents over 90% of total sales.

Related stocks: GIC (Global Industrial Company) · DNOW (DNOW Inc.) · REZI (Resideo Technologies, Inc.) · WCC (WESCO International, Inc.) · SITE (SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.)
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