Polestar Automotive Holding UK (PSNY) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the PSNY stock price target?

Take-profit $22.81 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $20.37.

Q: What are the risks of investing in PSNY?

Target reached (-32.1% upside); Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0); Target reached (-32.1% upside); Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0).

Q: Is PSNY overvalued or undervalued?

Polestar Automotive Holding UK trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -3.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about PSNY?

9 analysts cover PSNY with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $18.

Recovery setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 1 days ago (May 19, 2026, 6:26 AM ET)

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.90: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

$21.90+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 16 Auto Manufacturers

QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-47.06%

Stop $20.37Target $22.81(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1

Analyst target$17.50-20.1%2 analysts

$22.81our TP

$21.90price

$17.50mean

$15

$23

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 107d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Polestar Automotive Holding UK

Latest news

Polestar Sees FY26 Low Double-Digit Volume Growth; Q4 Retail Sales 15,608 Cars; Q4 Revenue $887M; Q4 Net Loss $799M; Q4 — benzinga Apr 17, 2026 negative
Transcript: Polestar Automotive Q4 2025 Earnings Conference Call — benzinga Apr 17, 2026 neutral
Earnings Scheduled For April 17, 2026 — benzinga Apr 17, 2026 neutral
Polestar Automotive FY 2025 Sales $3.058B Beat $2.983B Estimate — benzinga Apr 17, 2026 positive
Polestar's Electrifying Surge: 13,126 Cars Sold, Best First Quarter Ever — benzinga Apr 9, 2026 positive

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-32.1% upside)

Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-3.4

Mkt Cap$2.0B

EV/EBITDA-71.8

Profit Mgn-77.1%

ROE—

Rev Growth45.4%

Beta1.59

DividendNone

Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish

IV102%elevated

Max Pain$13-40.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value9.915%1.49

Quality1.315%0.20

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum6.110%0.61

Sentiment3.610%0.36

Insider Activity5.110%0.51

Peer Rank4.010%0.40

Technical Setup2.55%0.13

Risk Profile1.95%0.10

Catalyst2.55%0.13

Overall (Σ contributions)5.41

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roa

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Current Ratio

1.7

Piotroski F

2.2

Moat

5.5

Cash-burning: FCF -31% of revenueWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 6.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover

0.0

Volatility

0.0

Implied Vol

0.0

Max Pain Risk

3.0

Put Call

3.7

Beta

4.7

High IV: 102%Above max pain $13

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position

0.3

Bollinger

1.4

Support Resistance

2.1

Gap

6.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg

0.0

Erm

1.5

Earnings History

3.3

Earnings Timing

5.0

Estimates down -5.3% (30d)Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target

2.3

Erm Sentiment

2.9

Analyst Rating

5.0

Below analyst targetEstimates falling as sentiment proxy (-5.3%)

GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 107d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

74 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.85Resistance $23.28

Price Targets

$20

$23

A.Upside+4.2%

A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-32.1% upside)

! Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-09-03 (107d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PSNY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.90: Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $20.37. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PSNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.81 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $20.37. Stop-loss: $20.37.

What are the risks of investing in PSNY?

Target reached (-32.1% upside); Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0).

Is PSNY overvalued or undervalued?

Polestar Automotive Holding UK trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -3.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PSNY?

9 analysts cover PSNY with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Polestar Automotive Holding UK do?Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC engages in the research and development, marketing, commercialization, and sale of...

Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC engages in the research and development, marketing, commercialization, and sale of battery electric vehicles in Europe, North America, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and internationally. The company offers battery electric vehicles, including Polestar 2 (PS2); Polestar 3 (PS3); Polestar 4 (PS4); Polestar 5 (PS5); and Polestar 6 (PS6), a roadster. It also provides licenses and royalties; software and performance engineered kits; and carbon credits. In addition, the company is involved in vehicle leasing activity. Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.