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PSKYParamount Skydance CorporationSell4.1·$10.90-1.27%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Paramount Skydance Corporation trades attractively at 12.1x forward earnings with analysts seeing 21% upside, but its quality score of 2.8 is well below the minimum threshold, a death cross pattern is recovering, and consecutive earnings misses in 2 of 3 available quarters create a challenging near-term fundamental picture.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor Breach StructuralStable
  • Valuation Attractive Analyst UpsideStable
  • Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Paramount Skydance Corporation (PSKY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.90: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 6.35; Below-average business quality.

Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee payable by us to $7.0 billion if the transaction does not close due to regulatory matters. On the same date, the Warner Bros. Board determined that our revised... Read more

$10.90-22.4% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#29 of 34 Entertainment
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield144.39%
IncomeYield1.81%(5y avg 2.87%)Payout666.67%at-risk
Stop $10.10Target $12.49(default +15%)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$9.69-11.1%14 analysts
$12.49our TP
$10.90price
$9.69mean
$2
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.90: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 6.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-22.4% upside)
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)362.0
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$12.2B
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn-2.1%
ROE-0.9%
Rev Growth0.9%
Beta1.52
Dividend1.81%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C6.35bearish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$11+0.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.7

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.6
Support Resistance
1.6
Bollinger
2.8

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.8
Gross Margin
2.7
Moat
3.1
Operating Margin
3.7
Current Ratio
4.1
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.1
Quality Rank
2.9
Value Rank
4.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Dividend Safety
4.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.00Resistance $11.21

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside-22.4%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PSKY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.90: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 6.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $10.10. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PSKY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.49 (-22.4% upside). Prior stop was $10.10. Stop-loss: $10.10.

What are the risks of investing in PSKY?

Target reached (-22.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is PSKY overvalued or undervalued?

Paramount Skydance Corporation trades at a P/E of 362.0 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PSKY?

28 analysts cover PSKY with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Paramount Skydance Corporation do?Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee...

Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee payable by us to $7.0 billion if the transaction does not close due to regulatory matters. On the same date, the Warner Bros. Board determined that our revised proposal could reasonably be expected to lead to a "Company Superior Proposal" as defined in the Netflix merger agreement, although no final determination has been made as to whether our proposal is superior to the Netflix ...

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