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PSKYParamount Skydance CorporationSell4.7·$8.22-3.18%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Paramount Skydance Corporation trades attractively at 12.1x forward earnings with analysts seeing 21% upside, but its quality score of 2.8 is well below the minimum threshold, a death cross pattern is recovering, and consecutive earnings misses in 2 of 3 available quarters create a challenging near-term fundamental picture.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor Breach StructuralStable
  • Valuation Attractive Analyst UpsideStable
  • Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Paramount Skydance Corporation (PSKY) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.22: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.49; Below-average business quality.

Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee payable by us to $7.0 billion if the transaction does not close due to regulatory matters. On the same date, the Warner Bros. Board determined that our revised... Read more

$8.22+24.9% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#29 of 35 Entertainment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield178.49%
IncomeYield2.44%(5y avg 2.87%)Payout666.67%at-risk
Stop $7.92Target $10.25(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$11.79+43.4%14 analysts
$10.25our TP
$8.22price
$11.79mean
$2
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.22: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.49; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)410.5
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$9.2B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn-2.1%
ROE-0.8%
Rev Growth2.2%
Beta1.45
Dividend2.44%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.49bearish
IV124%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.1
Volume
2.9
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
0.7
Days To Cover
1.3
Short Interest
2.0
Debt Equity
4.4
Beta
5.2
News Risk
6.0
High short interest justified: 15%Elevated put/call: 2.49High IV: 124%

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.9
Gross Margin
2.5
Moat
3.1
Operating Margin
3.8
Current Ratio
4.3
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
4.4
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
19 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.17Resistance $10.39

Price Targets

$8
$10
A.Upside+24.9%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PSKY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.22: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.49; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $7.92. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PSKY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.25 (+24.9% upside). Prior stop was $7.92. Stop-loss: $7.92.

What are the risks of investing in PSKY?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is PSKY overvalued or undervalued?

Paramount Skydance Corporation trades at a P/E of 410.5 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PSKY?

27 analysts cover PSKY with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Paramount Skydance Corporation do?Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee...

Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee payable by us to $7.0 billion if the transaction does not close due to regulatory matters. On the same date, the Warner Bros. Board determined that our revised proposal could reasonably be expected to lead to a "Company Superior Proposal" as defined in the Netflix merger agreement, although no final determination has been made as to whether our proposal is superior to the Netflix ...

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