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PRMPerimeter Solutions, SASell5.6·$30.54-4.65%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Perimeter Solutions achieved 74% year-over-year revenue growth with a 4-for-4 earnings beat record, but the stock at $36.36 has exceeded its price target and is burning cash at a rate equal to 23% of revenue, creating a quality floor concern that offsets the strong top-line momentum.

Thesis pillars

  • Target Exhausted OverboughtDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Revenue Growth Beat StreakStable
  • Cash Burn Quality Floor BreachStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Perimeter Solutions, SA (PRM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.54: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 19.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Perimeter Solutions produces fire retardants, fire suppressants, and related equipment and services (Fire Safety segment) and phosphorus pentasulfide-based lubricant additives plus electronic components (Specialty Products segment), generating roughly 76% of annual revenues in... Read more

$30.54+21.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#24 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.14%
Stop $28.48Target $37.19(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$43.75+43.3%4 analysts
$37.19our TP
$30.54price
$43.75mean
$48

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.54: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 19.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (76.0%)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$5.2B
EV/EBITDA-23.6
Profit Mgn-44.9%
ROE-30.9%
Rev Growth31.5%
Beta1.91
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C19.00bearish
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerUSDA Forest Service32%
    10-K Item 1: 'our two largest customers, the USDA Forest Service and the U.S. Bureau of Land Management accounted for 32% and 11%, respectively, of our consolidated revenues'
  • LOWCustomerU.S. Bureau of Land Management11%
    10-K Item 1: 'our two largest customers, the USDA Forest Service and the U.S. Bureau of Land Management accounted for 32% and 11%, respectively, of our consolidated revenues'
  • MEDIUMCustomerstate of California
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on sales to the USDA Forest Service...and the state of California, which account for a substantial portion of our revenue related to our Fire Safety segment'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States76%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 76% of our annual revenues derived in the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
8.6
Industry growth leader

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.2
Volume
0.3
Obv
1.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 29)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
4.6
Current Ratio
5.7
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
6.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 8%, FCF yield 1.1%)
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5INSIDER 3.73%=EXTREMEA.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.88Resistance $38.17

Price Targets

$28
$37
A.Upside+21.4%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 3.73%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.54: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 19.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $28.48. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PRM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.19 (+21.4% upside). Prior stop was $28.48. Stop-loss: $28.48.

What are the risks of investing in PRM?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (76.0%); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is PRM overvalued or undervalued?

Perimeter Solutions, SA trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PRM?

9 analysts cover PRM with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Perimeter Solutions, SA do?Perimeter Solutions produces fire retardants, fire suppressants, and related equipment and services (Fire Safety...

Perimeter Solutions produces fire retardants, fire suppressants, and related equipment and services (Fire Safety segment) and phosphorus pentasulfide-based lubricant additives plus electronic components (Specialty Products segment), generating roughly 76% of annual revenues in the United States. The USDA Forest Service and U.S. Bureau of Land Management together accounted for 43% of 2025 consolidated revenues, covered by a five-year agreement signed in September 2025.

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