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PRCTPROCEPT BioRobotics CorporationSell5.2·$21.21+0.86%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PROCEPT BioRobotics is a growth-stage medical robotics company posting 20% revenue growth but in a confirmed falling-knife technical setup with a death cross, momentum score of only 3.0, volume surges on selloffs, and below-floor quality at 3.2 out of 10, making it a high-risk situation despite 30% analyst upside to target.

Thesis pillars

  • Falling Knife Technical SetupStable
  • Revenue Growth Moat FoundationStable
  • Cash Burn Below Quality FloorStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation (PRCT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.21: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality.

PROCEPT BioRobotics develops and sells the AquaBeam and HYDROS Robotic Systems, which use Aquablation therapy — an image-guided, heat-free waterjet robotic procedure — to treat benign prostatic hyperplasia, with an installed base of 912 systems globally including 718 in the... Read more

$21.21+21.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#38 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-3.61%
Stop $19.73Target $25.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$29.70+40.0%10 analysts
$25.84our TP
$21.21price
$29.70mean
$37

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.21: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation

About PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation

PROCEPT BioRobotics' AquaBeam and HYDROS Robotic Systems, which deliver Aquablation therapy for benign prostatic hyperplasia, generated $308.1 million in revenue in 2025, up from $224.5 million in 2024. The company's installed base reached 912 robotic systems globally by December 31, 2025, with 718 units in the United States. Substantially all of that revenue comes from the robotic systems and their single-use disposable handpieces.

PROCEPT sells its robotic systems directly to hospitals in the United States, supplemented by ambulatory surgical centers, leasing companies, and, outside the U.S., a network of distribution partners; the company also offers sales-type leasing as an alternative to a direct capital purchase. Reimbursement flows through third-party payors — commercial insurers and government programs including Medicare, where all local Medicare Administrative Contractors issued positive local coverage determinations in 2021, extending coverage to eligible beneficiaries in all 50 states. The company estimates commercial payor coverage now reaches approximately 95% of men in the United States. Growth depends on converting the roughly 2,700 U.S. hospitals performing resective BPH procedures into system placements and then driving utilization of the single-use handpieces within each account, financed to date primarily through equity issuance and a term loan with Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce.

Show full overview

PROCEPT's single largest exposure is not a therapeutic-area mix but a payer-coverage cliff: the 10-K states that if Medicare no longer covered its products, the impact on the business would be material, and it further warns that Medicare Administrative Contractors could revise the local coverage determinations issued in 2021 without notice. Because commercial payors typically follow Medicare's lead on emerging procedures, a reversal at the MAC level would not just shrink the roughly 95%-of-U.S.-men coverage footprint the company cites — it could stall hospital capital-equipment purchases altogether, given that reimbursement adequacy, not clinical efficacy, is what the filing identifies as the swing factor in hospital adoption.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation

Generated 2026-07-07T14:32:20Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: robotic systems and single-use disposable handpieces
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-24.0
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA-10.1
Profit Mgn-31.8%
ROE-27.8%
Rev Growth20.2%
Beta0.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV89%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductrobotic systems and single-use disposable handpieces
    10-K Item 1A: 'substantially all of our revenue has been derived...from sales of our robotic systems and our accompanying single-use disposable handpieces'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
3.4
Growth Rank
6.8

Unprofitable operations — net margin -31.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
6.3
Piotroski F
6.7
Moat
7.2
Gross Margin
8.8
Cash-burning: FCF -13% of revenue

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.9
Macd
2.6
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.92Resistance $29.74

Price Targets

$20
$26
A.Upside+21.8%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRCT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.21: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $19.73. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PRCT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.84 (+21.8% upside). Prior stop was $19.73. Stop-loss: $19.73.

What are the risks of investing in PRCT?

Concentration risk — Product: robotic systems and single-use disposable handpieces; Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is PRCT overvalued or undervalued?

PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -24.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PRCT?

21 analysts cover PRCT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $30.

What does PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation do?PROCEPT BioRobotics develops and sells the AquaBeam and HYDROS Robotic Systems, which use Aquablation therapy — an...

PROCEPT BioRobotics develops and sells the AquaBeam and HYDROS Robotic Systems, which use Aquablation therapy — an image-guided, heat-free waterjet robotic procedure — to treat benign prostatic hyperplasia, with an installed base of 912 systems globally including 718 in the United States. The company sells primarily to hospitals through a direct sales force, supplemented by distribution partners and sales-type leasing arrangements, generating $308.1 million in revenue in 2025 versus $224.5 million in 2024.

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