Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Post Holdings operates four segments—Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail—across cereals, eggs, pet food, and refrigerated side dishes in North America, the U.K., and globally. Walmart accounted for 17.4% of fiscal 2025 consolidated net sales;... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Post Holdings, Inc.
About Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings' four operating segments generated revenue across cereal and granola (32.4% of consolidated net sales), eggs and egg products (29.6%), and pet food (19.2%) in fiscal 2025. Walmart was the largest single customer at 17.4% of consolidated net sales. Post Consumer Brands manufactures products at fifteen owned and six leased facilities in the U.S. and Canada, while the Weetabix segment operates four owned manufacturing facilities in the U.K. under the Weetabix and Alpen brands.
Post Consumer Brands sells cereals including Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Malt-O-Meal, alongside pet food brands Nutrish, 9Lives, and Kibbles 'n Bits, and Peter Pan peanut butter—primarily to grocery stores, mass merchants, and club stores, with Walmart alone accounting for 29.9% of the segment's net sales in fiscal 2025. Weetabix's main markets are the U.K. and European Union, with Tesco and Asda together representing 33.0% of Weetabix segment sales. The Foodservice segment distributes egg and potato products primarily through Sysco and US Foods, which together accounted for 42.0% of Foodservice segment sales in fiscal 2025. Input cost volatility from highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks, grain prices, and pork markets may weigh on Foodservice and Refrigerated Retail margins. Post completed its full acquisition of 8th Avenue Food & Provisions on July 1, 2025, and entered a definitive agreement in August 2025 to sell the 8th Avenue pasta business.
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Customer concentration deepens at the segment level. Post Consumer Brands depends on Walmart for 29.9% of its net sales, and in the U.K., Weetabix's top two customers (Tesco and Asda) together represented 33.0% of segment sales in fiscal 2025. Refrigerated Retail's two largest customers, Walmart and Kroger, accounted for 34.9% of segment sales. The 10-K cautions that the loss of, or significant reduction in purchases by, any major customer may adversely affect financial condition—a risk that Post Holdings' multi-segment structure mitigates at the consolidated level but not within individual operating units.
See also: Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
From Post Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Post Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Q2 Holdings (NYSE:QTWO) Posts Better-Than-Expected Sales In Q1 CY2026 - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS ARM to Post Q4 Earnings: Should the Stock Be in Your Portfolio Now? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS ARM to Post Q4 Earnings: Should the Stock Be in Your Portfolio Now? - Zacks Investment Research — Zacks Investment Research neutral
- NEWS UPS or UNP: Which Transportation Stock Holds an Edge Post Q1 Earnings? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Electronic Arts to Post Q4 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerWalmart17%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer, Walmart, accounted for 17.4% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025'
- MEDIUMProductcereal and granola32%10-K Item 1: 'Cereal and granola sold by our Post Consumer Brands and Weetabix segments together accounted for 32.4% of our consolidated net sales for fiscal 2025'
- MEDIUMProducteggs and egg products30%10-K Item 1: 'Eggs and egg products sold by our Foodservice and Refrigerated Retail segments together accounted for 29.6% of our consolidated net sales for fiscal 2025'
- LOWProductpet food19%10-K Item 1: 'Pet food sold by our Post Consumer Brands segment accounted for 19.2% of our consolidated net sales for fiscal 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-07Item 5.02MEDIUMRobert V. Vitale transitioned from President and CEO to Executive Chairman effective May 5, 2026. Nicolas Catoggio (COO, age 52, in role since Jan 2026) appointed as President and CEO. No reason cited beyond planned transition; no disagreement noted.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-07Item 2.02LOWPost Holdings issued Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings press release for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Results furnished as Exhibit 99.1; not filed for Section 18 purposes.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $86.73. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $106.43 (+15.2% upside). Prior stop was $86.73. Stop-loss: $86.73.
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Post Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover POST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $122.
What does Post Holdings, Inc. do?Post Holdings operates four segments—Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail—across...
Post Holdings operates four segments—Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail—across cereals, eggs, pet food, and refrigerated side dishes in North America, the U.K., and globally. Walmart accounted for 17.4% of fiscal 2025 consolidated net sales; cereal and granola represented 32.4% of net sales, eggs and egg products 29.6%, and pet food 19.2%.