Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $103.60 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5.
Post Holdings is a consumer packaged goods holding company with four segments: Post Consumer Brands (cereals, pet food, nut butters), Weetabix (UK cereals), Foodservice (egg/potato products), and Refrigerated Retail (eggs, sausage, dairy, side dishes). In FY2025, cereal/granola... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $103.60 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductcereal and granola32%10-K Item 1A: 'Cereal and granola sold by our Post Consumer Brands and Weetabix segments together accounted for 32.4% of our consolidated net sales for fiscal 2025.'
- MEDIUMProducteggs and egg products30%10-K Item 1A: 'Eggs and egg products sold by our Foodservice and Refrigerated Retail segments together accounted for 29.6% of our consolidated net sales for fiscal 2025.'
- LOWProductpet food19%10-K Item 1A: 'Pet food sold by our Post Consumer Brands segment accounted for 19.2% of our consolidated net sales for fiscal 2025.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-05Item 5.02LOWFebruary 3, 2026: Michelle M. Atkinson and Jeff A. Zadoks elected to Post Holdings Board, effective March 15, 2026, for terms expiring at the 2027 annual meeting. Board will expand to nine members.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-05Item 5.02LOWFebruary 5, 2026: Greg Pearson named successor President/CEO of Post Consumer Brands segment effective April 1, 2026. Nicolas Catoggio continues as EVP/COO of Post Holdings; Catoggio's compensation unchanged.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $103.60 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $98.34. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $106.51 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $98.34. Stop-loss: $98.34.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).
Post Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.8 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover POST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $122.
What does Post Holdings, Inc. do?Post Holdings is a consumer packaged goods holding company with four segments: Post Consumer Brands (cereals, pet food,...
Post Holdings is a consumer packaged goods holding company with four segments: Post Consumer Brands (cereals, pet food, nut butters), Weetabix (UK cereals), Foodservice (egg/potato products), and Refrigerated Retail (eggs, sausage, dairy, side dishes). In FY2025, cereal/granola (32.4%), eggs/egg products (29.6%), and pet food (19.2%) were the three largest product categories by consolidated net sales.