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CENTCentral Garden & Pet CompanyHold6.1·$40.99+2.63%
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Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $40.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 major retailers (Walmart, Home Depot, Costco, Lowe's, Amazon) (54.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Central Garden & Pet is a US market leader in pet supplies and lawn/garden consumables with ~$3.1B in net sales, operating Pet (brands: Nylabone, Kaytee, Farnam) and Garden (brands: Pennington, Amdro, Ferry-Morse) segments. Revenue from branded and private-label products sold to... Read more

$40.99-1.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.51%
Stop $39.09Target $40.26(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$48.00+17.1%2 analysts
$40.26our TP
$40.99price
$48.00mean
$54

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $40.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 major retailers (Walmart, Home Depot, Costco, Lowe's, Amazon) (54.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 major retailers (Walmart, Home Depot, Costco, Lowe's, Amazon) (54.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn5.4%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV73%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerWalmart (~17% of net sales)17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Walmart, our largest customer in fiscal 2025, represented approximately 17% of total net sales in fiscal 2025'
  • HIGHCustomertop-5 major retailers (Walmart, Home Depot, Costco, Lowe's, Amazon)54%
    10-K Item 1: 'Walmart, our largest customer, accounted for approximately 17% of total net sales in fiscal 2025...Together with Costco, Lowe’s and Amazon these major retailers represented approximately 54% of total net sales in fiscal 2025 and 2024'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-18Item 5.02LOW
    Kay M. Schwichtenberg appointed to Board of Directors effective March 1, 2026, also appointed to Audit Committee. Former EVP Animal & Public Health (retired Feb 2023). No disagreement cited for vacancy.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.9
Quality Rank
4.6
Growth Rank
7.3
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.13Resistance $41.08

Price Targets

$39
$40
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CENT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $40.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 major retailers (Walmart, Home Depot, Costco, Lowe's, Amazon) (54.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $40.26 (-1.8%), stop $39.09 (−4.9%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CENT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.26 (-1.8% upside). Target $40.26 (-1.8%), stop $39.09 (−4.9%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $39.09.

What are the risks of investing in CENT?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 major retailers (Walmart, Home Depot, Costco, Lowe's, Amazon) (54.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.3% away).

Is CENT overvalued or undervalued?

Central Garden & Pet Company trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CENT?

11 analysts cover CENT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Central Garden & Pet Company do?Central Garden & Pet is a US market leader in pet supplies and lawn/garden consumables with ~$3.1B in net sales,...

Central Garden & Pet is a US market leader in pet supplies and lawn/garden consumables with ~$3.1B in net sales, operating Pet (brands: Nylabone, Kaytee, Farnam) and Garden (brands: Pennington, Amdro, Ferry-Morse) segments. Revenue from branded and private-label products sold to national retailers; top-5 accounts (Walmart, Home Depot, Costco, Lowe's, Amazon) = ~54% of net sales in fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · HLF (Herbalife Ltd.) · CENTA (Central Garden & Pet Company) · MKC (McCormick & Company, Incorporat) · BRBR (BellRing Brands, Inc.)
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