The Pennant Group, Inc. (PNTG) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the PNTG stock price target?

Take-profit $33.21 (+8.4% upside). Prior stop was $28.49.

Q: Is PNTG overvalued or undervalued?

The Pennant Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.6 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about PNTG?

13 analysts cover PNTG with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $38.

Range Bound setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.40: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

$30.40+8.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#12 of 27 Medical Care Facilities

Stop $28.49Target $33.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1

Analyst target$38.17+25.5%6 analysts

$33.21our TP

$30.40price

$38.17mean

$41

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.6

P/E (Fwd)19.6

Mkt Cap$1.1B

EV/EBITDA25.8

Profit Mgn3.1%

ROE9.8%

Rev Growth53.2%

Beta1.30

DividendNone

Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish

IV100%elevated

Max Pain$23-26.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.215%0.78

Quality3.115%0.46

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum4.410%0.44

Sentiment6.010%0.60

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.010%0.40

Technical Setup5.05%0.25

Risk Profile5.55%0.28

Catalyst3.95%0.20

Overall (Σ contributions)5.41

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

1.6

Fcf Quality

2.0

Operating Margin

2.5

Roa

2.6

Roe

3.3

Current Ratio

4.4

Moat

5.0

Piotroski F

6.7

Earnings quality RED FLAG: 24% FCF/NINo competitive moat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg

0.1

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings History

5.6

Earnings in 6 days

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

50 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.19Resistance $31.77

Price Targets

$28

$33

A.Upside+9.2%

A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PNTG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.40: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $28.49. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNTG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.21 (+8.4% upside). Prior stop was $28.49. Stop-loss: $28.49.

What are the risks of investing in PNTG?

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is PNTG overvalued or undervalued?

The Pennant Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.6 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PNTG?

13 analysts cover PNTG with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $38.

What does The Pennant Group, Inc. do?The Pennant Group, Inc. provides healthcare services in the United States. It operates in two segments, Home Health and...

The Pennant Group, Inc. provides healthcare services in the United States. It operates in two segments, Home Health and Hospice Services, and Senior Living Services. The company offers home health services, including clinical services, such as nursing, speech, occupational and physical therapy, medical social work, and home health aide services; and hospice services comprising clinical care, education, and counseling services for the physical, spiritual, and psychosocial needs of terminally ill patients and their families. It also provides senior living services, such as residential accommodations, activities, meals, housekeeping, and assistance in the activities of daily living to seniors who are independent or who require some support. The company operates home health, hospice, and home care agencies, as well as senior living communities in Alabama, Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Oklahoma, Oregon, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. The Company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.