Concentra Group Holdings Parent (CON) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Sell if holding. At $22.58, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).
Concentra is the largest U.S. occupational health services provider by locations, operating 628 stand-alone occupational health centers and 411 onsite health clinics serving approximately 53,000 patients per business day. Revenue was $2,163.4M in 2025, approximately 93% from... Read more
Sell if holding. At $22.58, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomersignificant employer customers10-K Item 1A: 'If we have adverse changes to our relationships with our significant employer customers, third-party payors, workers' compensation provider networks or employer services networks, our business, financial condition and results of operations may be adversely affected.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-14Item 5.02MEDIUMDr. John Anderson (EVP & Chief Medical Officer) notified retirement effective December 31, 2026. Company expects Consulting Agreement with Dr. Anderson for transition. No successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $22.58, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $21.32. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $25.23 (+11.7% upside). Prior stop was $21.32. Stop-loss: $21.32.
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).
Concentra Group Holdings Parent trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover CON with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $29.
What does Concentra Group Holdings Parent do?Concentra is the largest U.S. occupational health services provider by locations, operating 628 stand-alone...
Concentra is the largest U.S. occupational health services provider by locations, operating 628 stand-alone occupational health centers and 411 onsite health clinics serving approximately 53,000 patients per business day. Revenue was $2,163.4M in 2025, approximately 93% from occupational health centers, serving employers through workers' compensation, employer services, and consumer health.