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Plug Power, Inc. (PLUG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.13: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.77; Below-average business quality.

Plug Power builds an end-to-end clean hydrogen ecosystem, having deployed more than 74,000 fuel cell systems primarily in material handling and operating over 275 fueling stations. It sells fuel cells, PEM electrolyzers, hydrogen liquefiers, cryogenic solutions, and produces... Read more

$3.13+8.2% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#17 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
Stop $2.90Target $3.37(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$2.83-9.5%16 analysts
$3.37our TP
$3.13price
$2.83mean
$1
$7

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.13: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.77; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(6), semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst Cluster(6) detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: iridium
Target reached (-18.2% upside)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-16.6
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA-8.0
Profit Mgn-229.8%
ROE-120.5%
Rev Growth17.6%
Beta1.79
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.77bearish
IV112%elevated
Max Pain$1-84.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomersignificant customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A limited number of customers account for a significant portion of our revenue, receivables, backlog, or expected future deployments in certain periods.'
  • HIGHCommodityiridium
    10-K Item 1A: 'iridium is produced primarily as a by-product of platinum and nickel mining and has limited sources of supply, even modest increases in demand or disruptions in production could have an outsized impact'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-10Item 5.02LOW
    Jose Luis Crespo, already serving as CEO and President, appointed as Class III director effective March 4, 2026, to serve until the 2026 annual meeting. No reason cited for appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -229.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
7.9
Cash-burning: FCF -50% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 8.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.0
Put Call
1.5
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
4.0
Debt Equity
5.0
Days To Cover
5.5
News Risk
5.5
High short interest justified: 25%Elevated put/call: 1.77High IV: 112%Above max pain $0Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.6
Bollinger
3.2
52w Position
3.6

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.4
Growth Rank
5.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 11 days
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(6)SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $2.19Resistance $3.44

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.Upside+7.7%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLUG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.13: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.77; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $2.90. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLUG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.37 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $2.90. Stop-loss: $2.90.

What are the risks of investing in PLUG?

Concentration risk — Commodity: iridium; Target reached (-18.2% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is PLUG overvalued or undervalued?

Plug Power, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PLUG?

29 analysts cover PLUG with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Plug Power, Inc. do?Plug Power builds an end-to-end clean hydrogen ecosystem, having deployed more than 74,000 fuel cell systems primarily...

Plug Power builds an end-to-end clean hydrogen ecosystem, having deployed more than 74,000 fuel cell systems primarily in material handling and operating over 275 fueling stations. It sells fuel cells, PEM electrolyzers, hydrogen liquefiers, cryogenic solutions, and produces liquid hydrogen at plants in Georgia, Tennessee, and Louisiana.

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