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PLUGPlug Power, Inc.Sell5.0·$2.71-3.04%
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Plug Power, Inc. (PLUG) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.71: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Plug Power builds end-to-end clean hydrogen solutions including fuel cells, PEM electrolyzers, hydrogen liquefaction systems, and cryogenic equipment, primarily serving material handling customers through its GenDrive and GenFuel product lines. Revenue includes product sales,... Read more

$2.71+19.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#11 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-10.43%
Stop $2.61Target $3.25(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$3.62+33.4%16 analysts
$3.25our TP
$2.71price
$3.62mean
$1
$7

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.71: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Plug Power, Inc.

About Plug Power, Inc.

Plug Power held $724.1 million in orders at December 31, 2025, spanning fuel cells, hydrogen installations, maintenance services, electrolyzers, and hydrogen fuel deliveries—with individual order terms ranging from 90 days to 10 years. The company has deployed more than 74,000 fuel cell systems since inception and operates more than 275 fueling stations, serving primarily large multi-shift distribution and manufacturing sites in North American and European material handling markets. Walmart accounted for 24.2% of fiscal 2025 revenues, with a second customer contributing another 14.3%.

Plug Power generates revenue across four integrated product lines: GenDrive PEM fuel cells for electric forklifts, GenFuel liquid hydrogen supply and dispensing infrastructure, GenCare maintenance and service programs, and GenEco modular electrolyzers in 5 MW and 10 MW configurations. Hydrogen production comes from three company-operated plants in Tennessee, Georgia, and Louisiana—the Louisiana facility, a joint venture with Olin Corporation named Hidrogenii, commenced operations in April 2025. The company manufactures fuel cell stacks at a gigafactory in Rochester, New York, and assembles finished systems in Slingerlands, New York. Key input materials for PEM fuel cells and electrolyzers include platinum, titanium, and iridium; iridium is produced primarily as a byproduct of platinum and nickel mining rather than mined directly, leaving supply dependent on demand for those primary metals. Single-sourced components exist for certain new technologies and product introductions, creating temporary supply gaps until alternate sources are qualified.

Show full overview

Iridium is the input most specific to Plug Power's electrolyzer growth plan. Unlike platinum, which trades on deep global markets, iridium is produced almost entirely as a low-volume byproduct of platinum-group and nickel mining, meaning supply is inelastic to iridium demand itself. The 10-K notes that even modest growth in PEM electrolyzer deployment industry-wide—a trend the company is actively targeting with its 5 MW and 10 MW GenEco products—could have an outsized impact on iridium pricing and availability. Industry efforts to reduce catalyst loading exist, but the company cautions that no assurance can be given that such efforts will succeed or prove commercially viable at scale.

See also: Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

From Plug Power, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Plug Power, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-17.0
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA-7.7
Profit Mgn-227.1%
ROE-128.8%
Rev Growth22.3%
Beta2.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV95%elevated
Max Pain$8+195.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerWalmart24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Walmart, Inc. ("Walmart"), accounted for 24.2% of our total consolidated revenues'
  • LOWCustomersecond largest customer14%
    10-K Item 1: '14.3% of our total consolidated revenues were associated with our second largest customer'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-10Item 5.02LOW
    Jose Luis Crespo (current CEO & President) appointed as Class III director effective March 4, 2026, to serve until 2026 annual meeting. No officer departure; routine board appointment of existing executive.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -227.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
8.1
Cash-burning: FCF -55% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
4.4
Value Rank
5.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
9.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 10)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
10 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $2.69Resistance $4.33

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.Upside+19.9%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLUG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.71: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2.61. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLUG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.25 (+19.9% upside). Prior stop was $2.61. Stop-loss: $2.61.

What are the risks of investing in PLUG?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is PLUG overvalued or undervalued?

Plug Power, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PLUG?

29 analysts cover PLUG with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Plug Power, Inc. do?Plug Power builds end-to-end clean hydrogen solutions including fuel cells, PEM electrolyzers, hydrogen liquefaction...

Plug Power builds end-to-end clean hydrogen solutions including fuel cells, PEM electrolyzers, hydrogen liquefaction systems, and cryogenic equipment, primarily serving material handling customers through its GenDrive and GenFuel product lines. Revenue includes product sales, service contracts, and hydrogen fuel delivery; Walmart accounted for 24.2% of 2025 consolidated revenues with operations in North America, Europe, and Australia.

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