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PFGPrincipal Financial Group IncSell4.9·$111.41+0.74%
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Principal Financial Group Inc (PFG) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.41 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

Principal Financial Group provides retirement plan services, asset management, and employee benefits and life insurance to businesses and individuals, with $1,814.6 billion in AUA and $781.0 billion in AUM at December 31, 2025. The company earns AUM/AUA-based fees, insurance... Read more

$111.41-1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#96 of 112 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.10%
IncomeYield2.97%(5y avg 3.42%)Payout44.91%sustainable
Stop $107.19Target $109.82(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$101.50-8.9%12 analysts
$109.82our TP
$111.41price
$101.50mean
$87

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.41 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Principal Financial Group Inc

About Principal Financial Group Inc

Principal Financial Group administered $1,814.6 billion in assets under administration and managed $781.0 billion in assets under management at December 31, 2025, organized across three reportable segments: Retirement and Income Solutions, Principal Asset Management, and Benefits and Protection. The retirement business served more than 42,000 defined contribution plans holding $625.3 billion in assets and covering approximately 11.3 million eligible participants. Specialty Benefits provided 321,000 coverages to more than 3,300,000 employees across roughly 103,000 employer groups.

Principal Financial Group earns fee income tied to AUM and AUA from its asset management and retirement administration operations, insurance premiums in Specialty Benefits and Life Insurance, and spread income from guaranteed investment contracts and funding agreements. The Principal Asset Management segment managed $593.9 billion in assets at December 31, 2025, with 30% of WSRS account values managed internally and 66% managed entirely by third-party asset managers. Individual variable annuity products are sold primarily through affiliated financial representatives, who accounted for 68% of annuity sales in 2025. In Brazil, the Brasilprev joint venture with Banco do Brasil holds exclusive distribution rights for pension and income annuity products through the Banco network until October 2032. Principal Bank, a U.S. federal savings bank with approximately $9.3 billion in assets and nearly 816,000 customers at December 31, 2025, primarily accepts IRA rollovers from retirement plans serviced by affiliates.

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Principal Financial Group's 10-K identifies the California commercial mortgage loan portfolio as a named regional concentration. If economic conditions in California deteriorate or catastrophes occur—including earthquakes, wildfires, drought, or flooding—the company may experience delinquencies or defaults that could harm its financial strength. Separately, approximately 41% of total invested assets at December 31, 2025 consisted of less liquid instruments including privately placed fixed maturities, mortgage loans, and real estate, which may be difficult to sell at reported values in a stressed market scenario.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Principal Financial Group Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.9
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$23.9B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn10.1%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth-4.5%
Beta0.90
Dividend2.97%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$115+3.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioCalifornia commercial mortgage loans
    10-K Item 1A: 'Regional concentration of our commercial mortgage loan portfolio in California may subject us to losses attributable to economic downturns or catastrophes in that state'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyBanco do Brasil
    10-K Item 1: 'with our partner with Banco do Brasil...the exclusive distribution rights of its pension accumulation and income annuity products through the Banco network until October 2032'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.4
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.8
Quality Rank
3.9
Value Rank
6.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $99.58Resistance $112.06

Price Targets

$107
$110
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PFG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.41 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $107.19. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PFG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $109.82 (-1.2% upside). Prior stop was $107.19. Stop-loss: $107.19.

What are the risks of investing in PFG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is PFG overvalued or undervalued?

Principal Financial Group Inc trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PFG?

19 analysts cover PFG with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $102.

What does Principal Financial Group Inc do?Principal Financial Group provides retirement plan services, asset management, and employee benefits and life insurance...

Principal Financial Group provides retirement plan services, asset management, and employee benefits and life insurance to businesses and individuals, with $1,814.6 billion in AUA and $781.0 billion in AUM at December 31, 2025. The company earns AUM/AUA-based fees, insurance premiums, and spread income; it focuses on small and medium-sized businesses as an underserved U.S. market while serving institutional clients globally.

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