Skip to main content
PDMPiedmont Realty Trust, Inc.Sell5.0·$9.48-1.46%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Piedmont Realty Trust screens cheap on an FFO-proxy basis, but a persistent 4-quarter earnings miss streak, quality just below the engine's floor, and a negative asymmetry ratio suggest the office REIT's discount reflects structural, not temporary, weakness.

Thesis pillars

  • Office Reit Fcf Yield ValueStable
  • Consistent Earnings Miss StreakImproving
  • Quality Below Engine FloorStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. (PDM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. At $9.48, A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%).

Piedmont Realty Trust Inc. is a fully integrated, self-managed real estate investment company focused on delivering an exceptional office environment. As an owner, manager, developer and operator of approximately 16 MM SF of Class A properties across major U.S. Sunbelt markets,... Read more

$9.48-5.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 18 REIT - Office
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield21.88%
IncomeYield6.27%(5y avg 6.79%)Payout0.00%
Stop $8.88Target $9.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$10.50+10.8%4 analysts
$9.92our TP
$9.48price
$10.50mean
$11

Sell if holding. At $9.48, A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16

Recent Developments — Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc.

Generated 2026-08-16T19:37:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: office
Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-31.6
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn-14.2%
ROE-5.3%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.35
Dividend6.27%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.08bullish

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyoffice
    10-K Item 1A: 'Because our portfolio consists exclusively of office properties, we are subject to risks inherent in investments in a single property type.'
  • HIGHGeographicSunbelt markets70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Collectively, over 70% of our ALR is generated from our properties located in our Sunbelt markets.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the Third Amended and Restated Omnibus Incentive Plan on May 12, 2026, increasing shares available for issuance by 5,000,000 (13,666,667 to 18,666,667). Routine compensatory plan amendment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.8
Growth Rank
2.8
Value Rank
6.1

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.7
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MDividend: 6.3%
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.13Resistance $10.12

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside-5.9%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PDM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $9.48, A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.88. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the PDM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.92 (-5.9% upside). Prior stop was $8.88. Stop-loss: $8.88.

What are the risks of investing in PDM?

Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is PDM overvalued or undervalued?

Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -31.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PDM?

8 analysts cover PDM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. do?Piedmont Realty Trust Inc. is a fully integrated, self-managed real estate investment company focused on delivering an...

Piedmont Realty Trust Inc. is a fully integrated, self-managed real estate investment company focused on delivering an exceptional office environment. As an owner, manager, developer and operator of approximately 16 MM SF of Class A properties across major U.S. Sunbelt markets, Piedmont Realty Trust is known for its hospitality-driven approach and commitment to transforming buildings into premier piedmont places that enhance each client's workplace experience. Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Atlanta, United States.

Related stocks: PSTL (Postal Realty Trust, Inc.) · CUZ (Cousins Properties Incorporated) · DEA (Easterly Government Properties,) · CDP (COPT Defense Properties) · SLG (SL Green Realty Corp)
Home Stocks PDM

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga2d agoAnalyst
Benzinga19d agoEarnings
Benzinga19d agoEarnings