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PDMPiedmont Realty Trust, Inc.Sell5.2·$10.07
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Piedmont Realty Trust screens cheap on an FFO-proxy basis, but a persistent 4-quarter earnings miss streak, quality just below the engine's floor, and a negative asymmetry ratio suggest the office REIT's discount reflects structural, not temporary, weakness.

Thesis pillars

  • Office Reit Fcf Yield Value→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Miss Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Quality Below Engine Floor→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. (PDM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. At $10.07, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%).

Piedmont Realty Trust Inc. is a fully integrated, self-managed real estate investment company focused on delivering an exceptional office environment. As an owner, manager, developer and operator of approximately 16 million square feet of Class A properties across major U.S.... Read more

$10.07-9.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#8 of 17 REIT - Office
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield19.31%
Stop $9.51Analyst target $9.14(reached)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst consensus$10.75+6.8%4 analysts with price targets
$10.07price
$10.75mean
$11

Sell if holding. At $10.07, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 29, 2026

Recent Developments — Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc.

Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:13Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 11, 202798d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: office
Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-33.6
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn-15.2%
ROE-5.9%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.40
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV91%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyoffice
    10-K Item 1A: 'Because our portfolio consists exclusively of office properties, we are subject to risks inherent in investments in a single property type.'
  • HIGHGeographicSunbelt markets70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Collectively, over 70% of our ALR is generated from our properties located in our Sunbelt markets.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the Third Amended and Restated Omnibus Incentive Plan on May 12, 2026, increasing shares available for issuance by 5,000,000 (13,666,667 to 18,666,667). Routine compensatory plan amendment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.5
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 8.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.77Resistance $10.08

Price Targets

A.Upside-9.3%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-11 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PDM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $10.07, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $9.51. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the PDM stock price target?

Analyst target $9.14 reached (−9.3% from $10.07); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $9.51. Stop-loss: $9.51.

What are the risks of investing in PDM?

Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is PDM overvalued or undervalued?

Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -33.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PDM?

8 analysts rate PDM, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $11.

What does Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. do?Piedmont Realty Trust Inc. is a fully integrated, self-managed real estate investment company focused on delivering an...

Piedmont Realty Trust Inc. is a fully integrated, self-managed real estate investment company focused on delivering an exceptional office environment. As an owner, manager, developer and operator of approximately 16 million square feet of Class A properties across major U.S. Sunbelt markets, Piedmont Realty Trust is known for its hospitality-driven approach and commitment to transforming buildings into premier piedmont places that enhance each client's workplace experience. Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Atlanta, United States.

Related stocks: PSTL (Postal Realty Trust, Inc.) · HIW (Highwoods Properties, Inc.) · SLG (SL Green Realty Corp) · CDP (COPT Defense Properties) · CUZ (Cousins Properties Incorporated)
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