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HIWHighwoods Properties, Inc.Sell4.8·$29.27-1.91%
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Highwoods Properties, Inc. (HIW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office.

Highwoods Properties is an office REIT owning and operating approximately 9.3 million sq ft of retail and office space and 5,855 multifamily units in the best business districts of Atlanta, Charlotte, Dallas, Nashville, Orlando, Raleigh, Richmond, and Tampa. Revenue comes... Read more

$29.27+3.1% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#6 of 14 REIT - Office
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.68%
IncomeYield6.70%(5y avg 6.91%)Payout240.96%
Stop $27.61Target $30.21(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$25.78-11.9%9 analysts
$30.21our TP
$29.27price
$25.78mean
$23
$31

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Highwoods Properties, Inc.

About Highwoods Properties, Inc.

Highwoods Properties owns and operates office buildings in the best business districts of eight cities—Atlanta, Charlotte, Dallas, Nashville, Orlando, Raleigh, Richmond, and Tampa—with portfolio occupancy of 85.3% at December 31, 2025, down from 87.1% a year earlier. Bank of America (4.3% of annualized GAAP revenues) and Asurion (3.5%) are the only tenants exceeding 3% of revenues. The company had 315 full-time employees at year-end 2025 and carried 31 leases with 24 Federal government agencies totaling 749,000 square feet across five markets.

Highwoods earns rental income through long-term office leases in Sunbelt and mid-Atlantic BBDs, managed entirely in-house—unlike REITs that outsource leasing and property management. Revenue depends on average occupancy and rental rates, both sensitive to office employment levels in each market. The company applies a 3% threshold at which top tenants are periodically reviewed with the board, with only Bank of America and Asurion exceeding it. Work-from-home penetration poses a secular headwind: the 10-K notes customers may seek to downsize by leasing less space upon renewal. Undeveloped land in the company's Sunbelt markets is generally more available and less expensive than in higher barrier-to-entry markets, meaning new competitive supply may emerge even during economic expansions and could pressure occupancy and rental rates.

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The office sector's work-from-home transition is the first and most prominently detailed risk in the 10-K. The filing states that continued social acceptance of work-from-home arrangements could materially and negatively impact future demand for office space over the long-term, and occupancy already fell from 87.1% to 85.3% during 2025. The company holds 31 Federal government leases totaling 749,000 square feet, and while most are firm-term, the 10-K cautions the Federal government may seek early termination. Any acceleration in lease expirations or government cost-reduction efforts, if combined with an oversupplied market, may compound occupancy and rental rate pressure beyond what is offset by Sunbelt employment growth.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Office

From Highwoods Properties, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: office
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.0
P/E (Fwd)39.3
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn11.3%
ROE3.8%
Rev Growth7.6%
Beta1.11
Dividend6.70%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyoffice
    10-K Item 1: 'Our primary business is the operation, acquisition and development of office properties.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.4
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.02Resistance $30.83

Price Targets

$28
$30
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HIW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Prior stop was $27.61. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HIW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.21 (+3.1% upside). Prior stop was $27.61. Stop-loss: $27.61.

What are the risks of investing in HIW?

Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is HIW overvalued or undervalued?

Highwoods Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.0 (forward 39.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HIW?

14 analysts cover HIW with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Highwoods Properties, Inc. do?Highwoods Properties is an office REIT owning and operating approximately 9.3 million sq ft of retail and office space...

Highwoods Properties is an office REIT owning and operating approximately 9.3 million sq ft of retail and office space and 5,855 multifamily units in the best business districts of Atlanta, Charlotte, Dallas, Nashville, Orlando, Raleigh, Richmond, and Tampa. Revenue comes primarily from tenant rents; portfolio occupancy decreased from 87.1% to 85.3% in 2025, and the REIT operates with a fully integrated leasing and management model.

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