Skip to main content

Patria Investments Limited (PAX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.82 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Patria Investments Limited operates as a private market investment firm. It specializes in investments in private equity, secondary direct and indirect and venture capital with focus in middle market, buyout and growth capital investments. It seeks to be sector agnostic with... Read more

$12.82+10.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#64 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $12.07Target $14.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$16.36+27.6%7 analysts
$14.23our TP
$12.82price
$16.36mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.82 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.3
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn22.4%
ROE16.0%
Rev Growth-15.4%
Beta0.73
Dividend4.81%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.08bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$10-22.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.5
Value Rank
4.3
Quality Rank
5.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.5
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.15Resistance $13.55

Price Targets

$12
$14
A.Upside+11.0%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.82 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.07. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.23 (+10.9% upside). Prior stop was $12.07. Stop-loss: $12.07.

What are the risks of investing in PAX?

Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is PAX overvalued or undervalued?

Patria Investments Limited trades at a P/E of 18.3 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAX?

11 analysts cover PAX with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Patria Investments Limited do?Patria Investments Limited operates as a private market investment firm. It specializes in investments in private...

Patria Investments Limited operates as a private market investment firm. It specializes in investments in private equity, secondary direct and indirect and venture capital with focus in middle market, buyout and growth capital investments. It seeks to be sector agnostic with focus on agribusiness, power & energy, healthcare, logistics & transportations, food & beverage, agricultural products, packaged foods and meats, education services, outsourced business services, and digital & tech services. It prefers to invest globally with focus on Latin America, Europe, United States, North America and Brazil. It seeks to invest between $38.48 million and $72.14 million per transaction. The firm seeks a majority or minority stake in its portfolio companies. The company offers asset management services to investors focusing on private equity funds, infrastructure development funds, co-investments funds, constructivist equity funds, and real estate and credit funds. The firm seeks to co-invest with other investors. Patria Investments Limited was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands with additional offices across South America, North America, Europe and Asia. Patria Investments Limited operates as a subsidiary of Patria Holdings Limited.

Related stocks: ETG (Eaton Vance Tax-Advantaged Glob) · AOD (Aberdeen Total Dynamic Dividend) · CET (11017) · CLM (Cornerstone Strategic Value Fd) · CRF (33138)