PagSeguro Digital trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 4.6x with a PEG of 0.38 and 245% free-cash-flow conversion, delivering a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak, but negative price momentum, 11% short interest, and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 2.40 reflect persistent market skepticism about the Brazilian fintech's growth durability.
Thesis pillars
- Extreme Value Low Forward Pe↑Improving
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- Exceptional Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Sell if holding. At $8.40, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth.
PagSeguro Digital Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial and payment solutions for consumers, individual entrepreneurs, micro-merchants, and small and medium-sized companies in Brazil and internationally. The company provides digital banking solutions,... Read more
Sell if holding. At $8.40, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-28Recent Developments — PagSeguro Digital Ltd.
Latest news
- NEWS PagSeguro Digital Files 2025 Form 20-F with U.S. SEC - TipRanks — TipRanks neutral
- NEWS Here's Why PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) Fell More Than Broader Market - MSN — MSN negative
- NEWS Is PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) Undervalued Or Are Brazil Risks Still Priced In? - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Trade - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Trade - Yahoo News Malaysia — Yahoo News Malaysia negative
Generated 2026-10-28T11:53:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Revenue shrinking — -0.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $8.40, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.81. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $9.63 (+14.7% upside). Prior stop was $7.81. Stop-loss: $7.81.
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth; Negative momentum.
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.9 (forward 4.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover PAGS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $11.
What does PagSeguro Digital Ltd. do?PagSeguro Digital Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial and payment solutions for consumers,...
PagSeguro Digital Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial and payment solutions for consumers, individual entrepreneurs, micro-merchants, and small and medium-sized companies in Brazil and internationally. The company provides digital banking solutions, including bill payments, deposits, top-ups, debt management, direct deposits, pix, tax collections, tax collections, wire transfer, and ATM withdrawal; cards, such as debit, credit, cash, and prepaid cards; and credit products comprising FGTS withdrawals, payroll loans, working capital loans, and overdraft accounts. It offers insurance services, including account, card, home, business, health assistance, life, and credit life insurance; investment services, such as recommendation from our distribution team, financial education, stocks and REITs, investment, PagBank CD, Third-party fixed income, treasury, automatic savings and money boxes; and operates cashback and Shopping PagBank, a marketplace for various brands. In addition, it provides software solutions comprising PagVendas, a POS software app; ClubPag, a marketing tool that allows merchants to advertise across client base, available for POS devices; PlugPag, a wireless solution that connects the machine to the commercial automation system, via Bluetooth technology; and Envio Fácil, a logistics solution for online sales. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.