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Occidental Petroleum Corporatio (OXY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative news sentiment (-0.60).

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment... Read more

$60.61-1.6% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#34 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.11%
IncomeYield1.74%(5y avg 1.11%)Payout132.43%at-risk
Stop $56.82Target $59.72(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$64.33+6.1%24 analysts
$59.72our TP
$60.61price
$64.33mean
$55
$75

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative news sentiment (-0.60). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Occidental Petroleum Corporatio

Material events (past 30 days)

  • May 4, 2026 HIGH Item 5.02: Vicki Hollub, President and CEO of Occidental Petroleum, announced retirement effective June 1, 2026. Board will determine succession; no successor named in the available filing text.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative news sentiment (-0.60)
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)80.7
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$59.4B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn22.4%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth-8.3%
Beta0.17
Dividend1.74%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV47%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02HIGH
    Vicki Hollub, President and CEO of Occidental Petroleum, announced retirement effective June 1, 2026. Board will determine succession; no successor named in the available filing text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -8.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.4
Declining revenue: -8%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.5
Value Rank
2.1
Quality Rank
4.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
8.0
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.98Resistance $60.94

Price Targets

$57
$60
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OXY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative news sentiment (-0.60). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $59.72 (-1.5%), stop $56.82 (−6.7%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OXY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $59.72 (-1.6% upside). Target $59.72 (-1.5%), stop $56.82 (−6.7%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $56.82.

What are the risks of investing in OXY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative news sentiment (-0.60); Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is OXY overvalued or undervalued?

Occidental Petroleum Corporatio trades at a P/E of 80.7 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OXY?

31 analysts cover OXY with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Occidental Petroleum Corporatio do?Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and...

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. This segment also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities. The Midstream and Marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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