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Ouster, Inc. (OUST) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.84: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.70; Below-average business quality.

Ouster, Inc. engages in the production and sale of lidar sensor kits for the automotive, industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure industries in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers the Outer Sensor (OS) product line,... Read more

$26.84+27.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#15 of 24 Electronic Components
Stop $25.11Target $34.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$39.67+47.8%6 analysts
$34.51our TP
$26.84price
$39.67mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.84: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.70; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.9Qual2.7Grw10.0Mom4.8Sent6.4Ins3.5Peer2.6Tech2.7Risk2.35.2OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-547.2
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA-19.3
Profit Mgn-35.6%
ROE-27.3%
Rev Growth106.6%
Beta2.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.70bearish
IV137%elevated
Max Pain$9-66.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 7.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Beta
0.1
Put Call
2.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Short Interest
5.7
Days To Cover
7.5
Elevated put/call: 1.70High IV: 137%Above max pain $9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
0.4
Growth Rank
9.6
Industry growth leader

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Gross Margin
5.6
Current Ratio
9.1
Cash-burning: FCF -29% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.4
Bollinger
2.7
52w Position
3.0
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.55Resistance $30.00

Price Targets

$25
$35
A.Upside+28.6%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OUST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.84: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.70; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Prior stop was $25.11. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OUST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.51 (+27.8% upside). Prior stop was $25.11. Stop-loss: $25.11.

What are the risks of investing in OUST?

Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).

Is OUST overvalued or undervalued?

Ouster, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -547.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OUST?

12 analysts cover OUST with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Ouster, Inc. do?Ouster, Inc. engages in the production and sale of lidar sensor kits for the automotive, industrial, robotics, and...

Ouster, Inc. engages in the production and sale of lidar sensor kits for the automotive, industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure industries in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers the Outer Sensor (OS) product line, including OSDome that provides a hemispheric field of view; OS0 for wide view; OS1, for mid-range view; and OS2 for long-range view. It also provides the DF series, a suite of short, mid, and long-range solid-state digital lidar sensors for advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving systems; Velodyne that offers surround-view lidar sensors comprising VLP-16, VLP-16 Lite, VLP-16 Hi-Res, VLP-32, and VLS-128; Ouster Gemini, a perception platform designed for smart infrastructure deployments; and BlueCity, a Gemini-powered solution for traffic operations, planning, and safety. In addition, the company offers ZED, a high-performance camera that provides 2D and 3D color data, as well as AI Compute. Further, it is developing solid-state digital flash sensors, a suite of short, mid, and long-range solid-state digital lidar sensors that provide uniform precision imaging without motion blur across an entire field of view. Ouster, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

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