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OLEDUniversal Display CorporationSell5.0·$93.42+2.15%
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Universal Display Corporation (OLED) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $93.42: Concentration risk — Customer: BOE, LG Display and SDC; Concentration risk — Supplier: PPG.

Universal Display Corporation develops and commercializes OLED technologies and materials, primarily phosphorescent emitter materials sold to display manufacturers and technology licensing. In 2025, the majority of its revenue came from three Asia-Pacific customers—BOE, LG... Read more

$93.42+18.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#18 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.02%
IncomeYield2.19%(5y avg 0.96%)Payout41.20%sustainable
Stop $86.89Target $110.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$127.56+36.5%9 analysts
$110.97our TP
$93.42price
$127.56mean
$168

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $93.42: Concentration risk — Customer: BOE, LG Display and SDC; Concentration risk — Supplier: PPG. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Universal Display Corporation

About Universal Display Corporation

Universal Display Corporation's commercial revenue in 2025 flowed predominantly from three Asia-Pacific customers — BOE Technology Group, LG Display, and Samsung Display (SDC) — each individually exceeding 10% of consolidated revenue and together representing a majority of total sales. The company held more than 7,000 issued and pending patents worldwide as of the filing date, and manufacturing of its proprietary PHOLED emitter materials was performed entirely by partner PPG Industries under an arrangement spanning more than 25 years.

Universal Display generates revenue through two interdependent streams: sales of phosphorescent emitter and host materials manufactured by PPG and sold on a just-in-time basis to OLED device makers, and non-exclusive patent and know-how licensing fees under which customers pay fixed fees and/or running royalties tied to their sales of licensed OLED displays and lighting products. Commercial supply agreements typically impose minimum purchase obligations — either annual volume floors or a minimum percentage of each customer's total purchasing requirements — providing a partial volume floor. The company does not manufacture finished OLED displays; instead it licenses device architecture and sells the key emissive materials, concentrating value in its IP layer. Competitors with overlapping claims include LG group companies (holders of former Kodak OLED assets), CDT (acquired by Sumitomo in 2007), Idemitsu Kosan, and Mitsubishi Chemical, while customers SDC and LG Display also hold patents in adjacent OLED device and materials areas.

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Universal Display's material supply chain is entirely dependent on PPG Industries, described as a sole manufacturing partner for more than 25 years with proprietary processes and know-how, with no alternate manufacturer named in the filing. Additionally, certain fundamental phosphorescent OLED patents expired in the U.S. in 2017 and 2019, and in other countries in 2018 and 2020; the 10-K explicitly acknowledges that subsequent patents in the portfolio "may not be of an equally essential nature," which could weaken the company's licensing position if competitors develop non-infringing PHOLED or competing emitter designs.

See also: Technology · Electronic Components

From Universal Display Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: BOE, LG Display and SDC
Concentration risk — Supplier: PPG
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn34.1%
ROE12.7%
Rev Growth-14.5%
Beta1.54
Dividend2.19%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.35bearish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$220+135.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerBOE, LG Display and SDC
    10-K Item 1: 'we received a majority of our revenue from three customers domiciled in the Asia-Pacific region, BOE, LG Display and SDC, from each of which we had revenue in excess of 10% of our consolidated revenue.'
  • HIGHSupplierPPG
    10-K Item 1: 'Our manufacturing partner of over 25 years, PPG, continues to manufacture our materials for us, using proprietary manufacturing processes and know-how, which materials we then qualify to our exacting product specifications and resell on a just-in-time basis to OLED device manufacturers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -14.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
4.1
Declining revenue: -14%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.6
Bollinger
2.7
Support Resistance
3.1
Gap
5.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.1>=5.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $85.59Resistance $97.00

Price Targets

$87
$111
A.Upside+18.8%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts17
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$128

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OLED stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $93.42: Concentration risk — Customer: BOE, LG Display and SDC; Concentration risk — Supplier: PPG. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $86.89. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OLED stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.97 (+18.8% upside). Prior stop was $86.89. Stop-loss: $86.89.

What are the risks of investing in OLED?

Concentration risk — Customer: BOE, LG Display and SDC; Concentration risk — Supplier: PPG; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is OLED overvalued or undervalued?

Universal Display Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OLED?

17 analysts cover OLED with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $128.

What does Universal Display Corporation do?Universal Display Corporation develops and commercializes OLED technologies and materials, primarily phosphorescent...

Universal Display Corporation develops and commercializes OLED technologies and materials, primarily phosphorescent emitter materials sold to display manufacturers and technology licensing. In 2025, the majority of its revenue came from three Asia-Pacific customers—BOE, LG Display, and SDC—each representing over 10% of consolidated revenue.

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