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Universal Display Corporation (OLED) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $87.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: BOE, LG Display and SDC; Concentration risk — Supplier: PPG.

Universal Display Corporation develops and commercializes OLED technologies and materials, primarily phosphorescent emitter materials sold to display manufacturers and technology licensing. In 2025, the majority of its revenue came from three Asia-Pacific customers—BOE, LG... Read more

$87.61+27.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#19 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.09%
IncomeYield2.24%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout41.20%sustainable
Stop $81.48Target $111.46(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$128.11+46.2%9 analysts
$111.46our TP
$87.61price
$128.11mean
$168

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $87.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: BOE, LG Display and SDC; Concentration risk — Supplier: PPG. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Universal Display Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Analyst upside: 27%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: BOE, LG Display and SDC
Concentration risk — Supplier: PPG
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.9
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn34.1%
ROE12.7%
Rev Growth-14.5%
Beta1.54
Dividend2.24%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.46bearish
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerBOE, LG Display and SDC
    10-K Item 1: 'we received a majority of our revenue from three customers domiciled in the Asia-Pacific region, BOE, LG Display and SDC, from each of which we had revenue in excess of 10% of our consolidated revenue.'
  • HIGHSupplierPPG
    10-K Item 1: 'Our manufacturing partner of over 25 years, PPG, continues to manufacture our materials for us, using proprietary manufacturing processes and know-how, which materials we then qualify to our exacting product specifications and resell on a just-in-time basis to OLED device manufacturers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -14.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
4.2
Declining revenue: -14%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.7
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $83.64Resistance $101.55

Price Targets

$81
$111
A.Upside+27.2%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OLED stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $87.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: BOE, LG Display and SDC; Concentration risk — Supplier: PPG. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $81.48. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the OLED stock price target?

Take-profit target: $111.46 (+27.2% upside). Prior stop was $81.48. Stop-loss: $81.48.

What are the risks of investing in OLED?

Concentration risk — Customer: BOE, LG Display and SDC; Concentration risk — Supplier: PPG; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is OLED overvalued or undervalued?

Universal Display Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.9 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OLED?

17 analysts cover OLED with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $128.

What does Universal Display Corporation do?Universal Display Corporation develops and commercializes OLED technologies and materials, primarily phosphorescent...

Universal Display Corporation develops and commercializes OLED technologies and materials, primarily phosphorescent emitter materials sold to display manufacturers and technology licensing. In 2025, the majority of its revenue came from three Asia-Pacific customers—BOE, LG Display, and SDC—each representing over 10% of consolidated revenue.

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