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OPYOppenheimer Holdings, Inc.Sell5.9·$109.46-2.13%
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Oppenheimer Holdings, Inc. (OPY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $109.46: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak).

Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. operates as a middle-market investment bank and full-service broker-dealer. It provides brokerage services covering corporate equity and debt securities, money market instruments, exchange-traded options, municipal bonds, mutual funds, exchange-traded... Read more

$109.46+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#23 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.73%(5y avg 1.28%)Payout8.58%sustainable
Stop $101.80Target $114.31(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $109.46: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1
P/E (Fwd)42.8
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn6.0%
ROE10.5%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta1.06
Dividend0.73%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $94.86Resistance $116.64

Price Targets

$102
$114
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 43x vs trail 13x (3.3x)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $109.46: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $101.80. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OPY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $114.31 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $101.80. Stop-loss: $101.80.

What are the risks of investing in OPY?

Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

Is OPY overvalued or undervalued?

Oppenheimer Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 42.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OPY?

5 analysts cover OPY with a consensus score of 4.2/5.

What does Oppenheimer Holdings, Inc. do?Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. operates as a middle-market investment bank and full-service broker-dealer. It provides...

Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. operates as a middle-market investment bank and full-service broker-dealer. It provides brokerage services covering corporate equity and debt securities, money market instruments, exchange-traded options, municipal bonds, mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, certain precious metals, and unit investment trusts; financial and wealth planning services; and margin lending services. The company also offers asset management services, including separately managed accounts, mutual fund managed accounts, discretionary portfolio management programs, non-discretionary investment advisory and consultation services, alternative investments, portfolio enhancement programs, and institutional taxable fixed income portfolio management strategies and solutions, as well as taxable and non-taxable fixed income portfolios and strategies. In addition, it provides investment banking services, such as strategic advisory services and capital markets products; merger and acquisition, equities capital market, debt capital market, debt advisory and restructuring, and fund placement services; and institutional equity sales and trading, equity research, equity derivatives and index options, convertible bonds, event driven sales and trading, and portfolio and electronic trading, as well as provides custody, clearing, and prime services. Further, the company offers institutional fixed income sales and trading, fixed income research, public finance, and municipal trading services; and proprietary trading and investment activities. Additionally, it provides underwriting, market-making, trust, and discount services, as well as a cloud-based financial market. The company serves high-net-worth individuals and families, corporate executives, public and private businesses, institutions and corporations, governments, financial sponsors, and domestic and international investors. The company was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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