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O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.65: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

O-I Glass is one of the world's largest glass container manufacturers with 64 plants in 18 countries, serving alcoholic beverage, food, soft drink, and pharmaceutical markets through Americas and Europe segments. It is undergoing a 'Fit to Win' restructuring and had one customer... Read more

$8.65+32.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#8 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield9.70%
Stop $8.00Target $11.41(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$13.11+51.6%9 analysts
$11.41our TP
$8.65price
$13.11mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.65: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — O-I Glass, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)4.5
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn-2.9%
ROE-12.1%
Rev Growth-1.7%
Beta0.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$3-65.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomercustomer in both the Europe and Americas segments10%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Company had one customer, which is a customer in both the Europe and Americas segments, that accounted for approximately 10% of consolidated net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Arnaud Aujouannet no longer serves as SVP and Chief Sales and Marketing Officer effective March 4, 2026; placed on garden leave through June 30, 2026. No successor named for the role.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
2.3
Roa
2.5
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.8
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.6
Rsi
4.5
Obv
5.0
Volume
5.1
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
0.7
Value Rank
9.4
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.00Resistance $10.85

Price Targets

$8
$11
A.Upside+31.9%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.65: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $8.00. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.41 (+32.7% upside). Prior stop was $8.00. Stop-loss: $8.00.

What are the risks of investing in OI?

Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).

Is OI overvalued or undervalued?

O-I Glass, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 4.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OI?

18 analysts cover OI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $13.

What does O-I Glass, Inc. do?O-I Glass is one of the world's largest glass container manufacturers with 64 plants in 18 countries, serving alcoholic...

O-I Glass is one of the world's largest glass container manufacturers with 64 plants in 18 countries, serving alcoholic beverage, food, soft drink, and pharmaceutical markets through Americas and Europe segments. It is undergoing a 'Fit to Win' restructuring and had one customer representing approximately 10% of consolidated net sales in 2025.

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