O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.80: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
O-I Glass is one of the largest glass container manufacturers with 64 plants in 18 countries serving leading food and beverage companies through Americas and Europe segments. One customer accounted for approximately 10% of 2025 net sales; most products are sold under annual or... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.80: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCommodityenergy10-K Item 1A: 'energy accounts for 10% to 20% of total manufacturing costs'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOWArnaud Aujouannet departed as SVP and Chief Sales and Marketing Officer effective March 4, 2026. He remains a non-executive employee on garden leave through June 30, 2026. No successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.80: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $8.19. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $12.95 (+47.1% upside). Prior stop was $8.19. Stop-loss: $8.19.
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).
O-I Glass, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 4.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover OI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $15.
What does O-I Glass, Inc. do?O-I Glass is one of the largest glass container manufacturers with 64 plants in 18 countries serving leading food and...
O-I Glass is one of the largest glass container manufacturers with 64 plants in 18 countries serving leading food and beverage companies through Americas and Europe segments. One customer accounted for approximately 10% of 2025 net sales; most products are sold under annual or multi-year supply agreements. Since 2024, the company has been executing its Fit to Win restructuring to reduce capacity and cut costs.