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OIO-I Glass, Inc.Sell5.4·$9.03+0.44%
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O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.03: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.95; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

O-I Glass manufactures glass containers for beverages, food, and pharmaceuticals across 64 plants in 18 countries, operating through Americas and Europe segments with approximately 19,000 employees. Revenue comes from direct sales to global food and beverage manufacturers under... Read more

$9.03+26.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield9.28%
Stop $8.40Target $11.41(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$13.11+45.2%9 analysts
$11.41our TP
$9.03price
$13.11mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.03: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.95; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About O-I Glass, Inc.

About O-I Glass, Inc.

O-I Glass operates 64 glass container plants across 18 countries—30 in the Americas and 33 in Europe—employing approximately 19,000 people. The company holds the top domestic-producer market share in the U.S. glass container segment by sales revenue, competing directly with Ardagh Group and Anchor Glass Container in the United States and Verallia in both Brazil and Europe. A Fit to Win restructuring launched in 2024 drove the halt of the MAGMA glass melting program in the second quarter of 2025, generating roughly $104 million in impairment charges.

O-I Glass sells containers for alcoholic beverages (beer, wine, spirits), non-alcoholic beverages, food, and pharmaceuticals directly to large global manufacturers, including Anheuser-Busch InBev, Diageo, Heineken, Nestle, and Pernod Ricard, under annual and multi-year supply agreements; multi-year contracts typically include cost-pass-through provisions for raw material and energy price changes. One customer spanning both the Europe and Americas segments accounted for approximately 10% of consolidated 2025 net sales. Energy—principally natural gas, fuel oil, and electricity—represents 10% to 20% of total manufacturing costs depending on plant location. In the U.S. and Canada, more than 89% of sales volumes carry contracts that transfer the commodity price of natural gas to the customer. European operations rely on mid- to long-term natural gas supply contracts of one to three years; a significant amount of European natural gas is ultimately sourced from Russia, which could expose the company to supply and price disruption if geopolitical conditions deteriorate.

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O-I Glass has faced sustained inventory destocking since 2023 across wine, spirits, and beer customers, compressing glass container shipments. The 10-K flags that lower alcohol consumption, consumer shifts away from glass-packaged products, and customer inventory management changes could continue to weigh on volumes. In parallel, the EU Emissions Trading Scheme free allowance allocation is expected to phase out from 2026 to 2034, which could raise carbon compliance costs in European plants over the same period unless offset through productivity improvements or higher container prices.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

From O-I Glass, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — O-I Glass, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-17T09:07:23Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)4.7
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn-2.9%
ROE-12.1%
Rev Growth-1.7%
Beta0.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.95bearish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$20+121.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerone customer (~10% of net sales)10%
    10-K Item 1: 'one customer ... accounted for approximately 10% of consolidated net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
2.3
Roa
2.5
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.8
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.7
Bollinger
2.9
Support Resistance
3.4
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
0.7
Value Rank
9.4
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.75Resistance $9.68

Price Targets

$8
$11
A.Upside+26.4%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.03: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.95; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $8.40. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.41 (+26.4% upside). Prior stop was $8.40. Stop-loss: $8.40.

What are the risks of investing in OI?

Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).

Is OI overvalued or undervalued?

O-I Glass, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 4.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OI?

18 analysts cover OI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

What does O-I Glass, Inc. do?O-I Glass manufactures glass containers for beverages, food, and pharmaceuticals across 64 plants in 18 countries,...

O-I Glass manufactures glass containers for beverages, food, and pharmaceuticals across 64 plants in 18 countries, operating through Americas and Europe segments with approximately 19,000 employees. Revenue comes from direct sales to global food and beverage manufacturers under annual and multi-year supply agreements; one customer accounted for approximately 10% of 2025 consolidated net sales.

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