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Empire State Realty OP, L.P. Se (OGCP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.21 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Empire State Realty OP, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.

$5.21+7.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#6 of 14 REIT - Office
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield14.62%
IncomeYield2.45%Payout66.67%
Stop $4.91Target $5.61(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.21 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val7.5Qual5.2Grw1.9Mom4.4Sent5.0Ins5.0Peer5.1Tech6.2Risk6.15.0OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.2
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn7.8%
ROE3.3%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta1.42
Dividend2.45%
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.7
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.06Resistance $5.72

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+7.7%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for OGCP.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OGCP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.21 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $4.91. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OGCP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.61 (+7.7% upside). Prior stop was $4.91. Stop-loss: $4.91.

What are the risks of investing in OGCP?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is OGCP overvalued or undervalued?

Empire State Realty OP, L.P. Se trades at a P/E of 27.2 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Empire State Realty OP, L.P. Se do?Empire State Realty OP, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Empire State Realty Trust,...

Empire State Realty OP, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.

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