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OECOrion S.A.Hold5.1·$6.44+1.10%
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Orion S.A. (OEC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $6.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-11.7% upside); Market cap $364M below $400M minimum.

Orion S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of carbon black products. The company operates in two segments, Specialty Carbon Black and Rubber Carbon Black. It offers post-treated specialty carbon black grades for coatings and printing... Read more

$6.44-11.7% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#34 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield12.74%
IncomeYield1.29%(5y avg 4.01%)Payout30.67%sustainable
Stop $5.99Target $8.08(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$6.69+3.8%4 analysts
$8.08our TP
$6.44price
$6.69mean
$5
$9

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $6.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-11.7% upside); Market cap $364M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $364M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202678d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-11.7% upside)
Market cap $364M below $400M minimum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-16.0% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 0.1%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$364M
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn-5.3%
ROE-22.7%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta1.00
Dividend1.29%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV94%elevated
Max Pain$8+16.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.5
Operating Margin
1.7
Moat
3.6
Current Ratio
4.1
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Macd
2.7
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
4.4
Value Rank
9.7
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.12Resistance $8.24

Price Targets

$6
$8
A.Upside-11.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.7% upside)
! Market cap $364M below $400M minimum
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-16.0% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 0.1%)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OEC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $6.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-11.7% upside); Market cap $364M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $364M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $8.08 (+25.5%), stop $5.99 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OEC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.08 (-11.7% upside). Target $8.08 (+25.5%), stop $5.99 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $5.99.

What are the risks of investing in OEC?

Target reached (-11.7% upside); Market cap $364M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-16.0% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 0.1%).

Is OEC overvalued or undervalued?

Orion S.A. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OEC?

11 analysts cover OEC with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $7.

What does Orion S.A. do?Orion S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of carbon black products. The company...

Orion S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of carbon black products. The company operates in two segments, Specialty Carbon Black and Rubber Carbon Black. It offers post-treated specialty carbon black grades for coatings and printing applications, as well as high purity carbon black grades for the fiber industry; and conductive carbon black grades for batteries, polymers, and coatings. The company also provides rubber carbon black products for tires, such as high-reinforcing grades and semi-reinforcing grades under the ECORAX brand, as well as for mechanical rubber goods end users, including automotive production, construction, as well as certain food, consumer, and medical applications. It operates in the United States, Brazil, rest of the Americas, Germany, South Africa, Italy, Spain, Czech republic, Poland, Italy, Turkey, France, Rest of EMEA, China, the Republic of Korea, and rest of Asia. The company was formerly known as Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. and changed its name to Orion S.A. in June 2023. Orion S.A. was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Senningerberg, Luxembourg.

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