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NVGSNavigator Holdings Ltd.Buy Wait7.2·$20.38
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Navigator Holdings trades at an attractive forward P/E of 13.1x and carries a Piotroski score of 7/9, but revenue declined 7% year-over-year, the company missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and news sentiment has turned negative, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Metrics At Discount↑Improving
  • Strong Piotroski Financial Health→Stable
  • Earnings Miss Revenue Decline↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (NVGS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Wait for pullback to $20.15. At $20.38 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.15 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 9.9%.

Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international and regional seaborne transportation of petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gases, and ammonia for energy companies, industrial users, and commodity... Read more

$20.38+9.9% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#7 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.50%
IncomeYield1.38%Payout12.04%sustainable
Entry $20.15(support + ATR (held))Stop $19.14Target $22.40(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst consensus$25.75+26.3%6 analysts with price targets
$22.40our TP
$20.38price
$25.75mean
$27

Wait for pullback to $20.15. At $20.38 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.15 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 9.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 7.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 125d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=energy 1/10). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — Navigator Holdings Ltd.

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Mar 10, 2027125d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.9%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.0
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn22.8%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth29.5%
Beta0.56
Dividend1.38%
Analysts with ratings14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 125d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Energy 1/10Suitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.73Resistance $24.68

Price Targets

$19
$20
$22
A.Upside+9.9%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-03-10 (125d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVGS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $20.15. At $20.38 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.15 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 9.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $22.40 (+9.9%), stop $19.14 (−6.5%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 7.2/10, high confidence.

What is the NVGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.40 (+9.9% upside). Target $22.40 (+9.9%), stop $19.14 (−6.5%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $19.14.

What are the risks of investing in NVGS?

Thin upside margin: 9.9%.

Is NVGS overvalued or undervalued?

Navigator Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 7.0 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NVGS?

14 analysts rate NVGS, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $26.

What does Navigator Holdings Ltd. do?Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international...

Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international and regional seaborne transportation of petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gases, and ammonia for energy companies, industrial users, and commodity traders. The company also provides ship shore infrastructure and consultancy services. It operates through a fleet of 57 semi- or fully-refrigerated liquefied gas carriers. Navigator Holdings Ltd. was formerly known as Isle of Man public limited company and changed its name to Navigator Holdings Ltd. in 2006. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

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