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NVGSNavigator Holdings Ltd.Sell6.0·$21.50-0.83%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Navigator Holdings trades at an attractive forward P/E of 13.1x and carries a Piotroski score of 7/9, but revenue declined 7% year-over-year, the company missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and news sentiment has turned negative, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Metrics At DiscountDeteriorating
  • Strong Piotroski Financial HealthStable
  • Earnings Miss Revenue DeclineImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (NVGS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.50 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international and regional seaborne transportation of petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gases, and ammonia for energy companies, industrial users, and commodity... Read more

$21.50+1.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#18 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield9.23%
IncomeYield1.29%Payout14.81%sustainable
Stop $20.33Target $22.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$25.33+17.8%6 analysts
$22.04our TP
$21.50price
$25.33mean
$27

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.50 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn18.8%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth-7.1%
Beta
Dividend1.29%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.7
Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
7.9
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.30Resistance $21.95

Price Targets

$20
$22
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVGS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.50 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $20.33. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NVGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.04 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $20.33. Stop-loss: $20.33.

What are the risks of investing in NVGS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is NVGS overvalued or undervalued?

Navigator Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NVGS?

14 analysts cover NVGS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Navigator Holdings Ltd. do?Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international...

Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international and regional seaborne transportation of petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gases, and ammonia for energy companies, industrial users, and commodity traders. The company also provides ship shore infrastructure and consultancy services. It operates through a fleet of 57 semi- or fully-refrigerated liquefied gas carriers. Navigator Holdings Ltd. was formerly known as Isle of Man public limited company and changed its name to Navigator Holdings Ltd. in 2006. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.)
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