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Navigator Holdings Ltd. (NVGS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international and regional seaborne transportation of petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gases, and ammonia for energy companies, industrial users, and commodity... Read more

$23.90-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#18 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.25%
IncomeYield1.15%Payout14.81%sustainable
Stop $22.47Target $23.80(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$24.75+3.6%6 analysts
$23.80our TP
$23.90price
$24.75mean
$22
$26

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Navigator Holdings Ltd.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn18.8%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth-7.1%
Beta
Dividend1.15%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV35%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
3.1
Value Rank
6.1
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
84 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.94Resistance $24.29

Price Targets

$22
$24
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVGS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $22.47. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NVGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.80 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $22.47. Stop-loss: $22.47.

What are the risks of investing in NVGS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is NVGS overvalued or undervalued?

Navigator Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NVGS?

14 analysts cover NVGS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Navigator Holdings Ltd. do?Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international...

Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international and regional seaborne transportation of petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gases, and ammonia for energy companies, industrial users, and commodity traders. The company also provides ship shore infrastructure and consultancy services. It operates through a fleet of 57 semi- or fully-refrigerated liquefied gas carriers. Navigator Holdings Ltd. was formerly known as Isle of Man public limited company and changed its name to Navigator Holdings Ltd. in 2006. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

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