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NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP (NGL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $16.07: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5; Near 52-week high (1.7% away).

NGL Energy Partners LP engages in the transportation, storage, blending, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, refined products/renewables, and water solutions in the United States. It operates through three segments: Water Solutions, Crude Oil Logistics, and Liquids... Read more

$16.07-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#30 of 41 Oil & Gas Midstream
Stop $14.96Target $16.07(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $16.07: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5; Near 52-week high (1.7% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Near 52-week high (1.7% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)19.1
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta0.39
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.18Resistance $16.40

Price Targets

$15
$16
A.Upside0.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts6
Consensus3.8/5
Avg Target

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-28 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NGL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $16.07: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5; Near 52-week high (1.7% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $14.96. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the NGL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.07 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $14.96. Stop-loss: $14.96.

What are the risks of investing in NGL?

Near 52-week high (1.7% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is NGL overvalued or undervalued?

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 19.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NGL?

6 analysts cover NGL with a consensus score of 3.8/5.

What does NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP do?NGL Energy Partners LP engages in the transportation, storage, blending, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas...

NGL Energy Partners LP engages in the transportation, storage, blending, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, refined products/renewables, and water solutions in the United States. It operates through three segments: Water Solutions, Crude Oil Logistics, and Liquids Logistics. The Water Solutions segment transports, treats, recycles, and disposes produced and flowback water generated from crude oil and natural gas production; aggregates and sells recovered crude oil; disposes solids, such as tank bottoms, drilling fluid, and muds, as well as performs truck and frac tank washouts; and sells produced water for reuse and recycle, and brackish non-potable water. The Crude Oil Logistics segment purchases crude oil from producers and marketers and transports it to refineries for resale at pipeline injection stations, storage terminals, barge loading facilities, rail facilities, refineries, and other trade hubs; and provides storage, terminaling, and transportation services through pipelines and storage tanks. The Liquids Logistics segment offers natural gas liquids to commercial, retail, and industrial customers across the United States and Canada through its five terminals, third-party storage and terminal facilities, nine common carrier pipelines and a fleet of leased railcars. This segment also provides services for marine exports of butane through its facility located in Chesapeake, Virginia; and owns a propane pipeline in Michigan. NGL Energy Holdings LLC serves as the general partner of the company. NGL Energy Partners LP was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

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