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NEOGNeogen CorporationSell4.9·$13.98
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Neogen Corporation operates in food safety diagnostics with significant international revenue exposure, but declining top-line growth, weak quality scores, and a high concentration in a single product segment create structural headwinds that outweigh its favorable momentum setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Quality FloorStable
  • Food Safety Segment ConcentrationImproving
  • Earnings Consistency MixedStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Neogen Corporation (NEOG) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Neogen develops, manufactures and markets food and animal safety products through two segments: Food Safety (diagnostic test kits, culture media for foodborne pathogen and allergen detection) and Animal Safety (veterinary instruments, pharmaceuticals, vaccines, genomics... Read more

$13.98-18.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#55 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.28%
Stop $13.02Target $16.08(default +15%)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$13.33-4.6%3 analysts
$16.08our TP
$13.98price
$13.33mean
$12
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Neogen Corporation

About Neogen Corporation

Neogen's Food Safety segment — diagnostic test kits and culture media that detect foodborne pathogens, allergens, and contaminants — generated 71.3% of the company's total revenue in fiscal 2025, with the remaining 28.7% from the Animal Safety segment's veterinary instruments, pharmaceuticals, vaccines, and genomics testing services. Sales to customers outside the United States accounted for 50.2% of total revenue that year, and the company employed 975 people in sales and marketing as of May 31, 2025.

Neogen's Food Safety products are largely consumable, single-use diagnostic kits — immunoassay, culture-based, and nucleic-acid detection tests — sold to food and feed producers, processors, and regulatory agencies, with royalty rates of 2% to 10% of revenue paid on products that use licensed allergen and pathogen detection technology. Animal Safety products, including veterinary instruments, parasiticides, rodent and insect control, and genomics testing, are sold mainly through veterinarians, retailers, livestock producers, and animal health distributors; in April 2025 the company agreed to sell its global Cleaners and Disinfectants business. Neogen distributes through its own sales personnel as well as a network of distributors covering more than 100 countries, and manufactures products in the U.S., the U.K., Ireland, and Brazil. The company continues integrating the 3M Food Safety Division it combined with in a September 2022 Reverse Morris Trust transaction, which contributed to impairment charges against the Food Safety reporting unit in the second and fourth quarters of fiscal 2025.

Show full overview

Certain of Neogen's Food Safety product lines depend on a sole or single-source supplier or vendor for raw materials, and the company says some of the products it purchases from these sources are proprietary and cannot be readily replaced by alternative sources — a narrower and harder-to-substitute exposure than ordinary commodity input-cost risk. That dependency sits alongside newly disclosed material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting tied to management review of goodwill valuation assumptions, which contributed to Food Safety reporting-unit impairment charges in fiscal 2025 and adds execution risk to the still-incomplete integration of the 3M Food Safety business.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Neogen Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 30, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-23

Recent Developments — Neogen Corporation

Generated 2026-09-23T22:42:02Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 6, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Food Safety segment (71.3%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: sales to customers outside the U.S. (50.2%)
Target reached (-18.9% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)36.8
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA38.8
Profit Mgn-0.9%
ROE-0.4%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta1.76
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV76%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFood Safety segment71%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenues from Neogen’s Food Safety segment accounted for 71.3%, 70.9%, and 66.5% of our total revenues for fiscal years ended May 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • HIGHGeographicsales to customers outside the U.S.50%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to customers outside the U.S. accounted for 50.2%, 49.7%, and 48.4% of our total revenues for fiscal years ended May 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • HIGHSuppliersole or single source supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our food safety product lines depend on a sole or single source supplier or vendor.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Legal and Administrative Officer Amy Rocklin will leave the company effective March 31, 2026. No successor named; no reason cited in the filing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.6
Moat
4.0
Fcf Quality
4.6
Gross Margin
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.2
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 8%, FCF yield 2.3%)No competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
9.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
4.6
Value Rank
4.6
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
89 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.37Resistance $14.18

Price Targets

$13
$16
A.Upside-18.9%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-06 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEOG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $13.02. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEOG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.08 (-18.9% upside). Prior stop was $13.02. Stop-loss: $13.02.

What are the risks of investing in NEOG?

Concentration risk — Product: Food Safety segment (71.3%); Concentration risk — Geographic: sales to customers outside the U.S. (50.2%); Target reached (-18.9% upside).

Is NEOG overvalued or undervalued?

Neogen Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 36.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NEOG?

11 analysts cover NEOG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Neogen Corporation do?Neogen develops, manufactures and markets food and animal safety products through two segments: Food Safety (diagnostic...

Neogen develops, manufactures and markets food and animal safety products through two segments: Food Safety (diagnostic test kits, culture media for foodborne pathogen and allergen detection) and Animal Safety (veterinary instruments, pharmaceuticals, vaccines, genomics testing). Food Safety generated 71.3% of fiscal 2025 revenue, and sales outside the U.S. accounted for 50.2% of total revenue that year.

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