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NEOGNeogen CorporationSell4.7·$11.55+1.32%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Neogen Corporation operates in food safety diagnostics with significant international revenue exposure, but declining top-line growth, weak quality scores, and a high concentration in a single product segment create structural headwinds that outweigh its favorable momentum setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Quality FloorStable
  • Food Safety Segment ConcentrationDeteriorating
  • Earnings Consistency MixedImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Neogen Corporation (NEOG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.55: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality.

Neogen develops, manufactures, and markets diagnostic test kits and related products for food and animal safety through two segments: Food Safety, which generated 71.3% of fiscal 2025 revenue, and Animal Safety, which generated the remaining 28.7%. Sales outside the U.S.... Read more

$11.55-4.5% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#55 of 59 Medical Devices
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.80%
Stop $10.76Target $12.59(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$13.00+12.6%3 analysts
$12.59our TP
$11.55price
$13.00mean
$14

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.55: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Neogen Corporation

About Neogen Corporation

Neogen Corporation's Food Safety segment represented 71.3% of total revenues in fiscal year 2025 (ended May 31, 2025), selling diagnostic test kits for pathogen detection, allergen testing, and food quality analysis to processors, grain elevators, and regulatory agencies globally. The Animal Safety segment added 28.7% of revenues through veterinary instruments, pharmaceuticals, genomics services, and rodent control products. International customers in more than 100 countries contributed 50.2% of total revenues in fiscal 2025, with no individual foreign country exceeding 10%.

Neogen earns revenue primarily from consumable, single-use immunoassay and nucleic acid test kits carrying royalties on licensed technology at typical rates of 2% to 10% of product revenues, plus culture media, genomics genotyping services from six global labs, and veterinary pharmaceuticals including the USDA-approved BotVax B vaccine. Distribution reaches customers through a direct sales force, specialized distributors, and subsidiaries in 28 countries. The September 2022 Reverse Morris Trust combination with 3M's Food Safety Division roughly doubled scale by adding Petrifilm plate systems and Clean-Trace ATP sanitation products, though integration challenges contributed to impairment charges in the second and fourth quarters of fiscal 2025 and management disclosed material weaknesses in internal controls over financial reporting as of May 31, 2025. In April 2025, Neogen entered into an agreement to sell its global Cleaners and Disinfectants business, trimming the Animal Safety segment.

Show full overview

Certain food safety product lines depend on a sole or single source supplier or vendor, and some of those inputs are proprietary — meaning substitutes may not be readily available if a supplier experiences disruption. The 10-K notes that a sustained interruption in raw material supply could result in significant price increases or unavailability, leading to customer losses. In March 2026, Neogen disclosed via Form 8-K that Chief Legal and Administrative Officer Amy Rocklin departed effective March 31, 2026, with no successor named, adding leadership uncertainty during a critical phase of the 3M Food Safety integration.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Neogen Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-11

Recent Developments — Neogen Corporation

Generated 2026-08-14T15:42:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 8, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Food Safety segment (71.3%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: customers outside the U.S. (50.2%)
Target reached (-4.5% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)30.0
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA32.9
Profit Mgn-0.9%
ROE-0.4%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta1.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV78%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFood Safety segment71%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenues from Neogen's Food Safety segment accounted for 71.3%, 70.9%, and 66.5% of our total revenues for fiscal years ended May 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • HIGHGeographiccustomers outside the U.S.50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to customers outside the U.S. accounted for 50.2%, 49.7%, and 48.4% of our total revenues for fiscal years ended May 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • HIGHSuppliersole or single source supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our food safety product lines depend on a sole or single source supplier or vendor.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Legal and Administrative Officer Amy Rocklin will leave the company effective March 31, 2026. No reason cited; no successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.6
Moat
4.0
Fcf Quality
4.6
Gross Margin
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.2
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 8%, FCF yield 2.8%)No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.05Resistance $12.85

Price Targets

$11
$13
A.Upside-4.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-08 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEOG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.55: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $10.76. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEOG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.59 (-4.5% upside). Prior stop was $10.76. Stop-loss: $10.76.

What are the risks of investing in NEOG?

Concentration risk — Product: Food Safety segment (71.3%); Concentration risk — Geographic: customers outside the U.S. (50.2%); Target reached (-4.5% upside).

Is NEOG overvalued or undervalued?

Neogen Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 30.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NEOG?

11 analysts cover NEOG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Neogen Corporation do?Neogen develops, manufactures, and markets diagnostic test kits and related products for food and animal safety through...

Neogen develops, manufactures, and markets diagnostic test kits and related products for food and animal safety through two segments: Food Safety, which generated 71.3% of fiscal 2025 revenue, and Animal Safety, which generated the remaining 28.7%. Sales outside the U.S. accounted for 50.2% of total revenue in fiscal 2025, and no single customer or distributor represented 10% or more of revenue.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · TCMD (Tactile Systems Technology, Inc) · DCTH (Delcath Systems, Inc.) · ZBH (Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.) · ATEC (Alphatec Holdings, Inc.)
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