Skip to main content
NEOGNeogen CorporationSell4.8·$9.17-1.50%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Neogen Corporation operates in food safety diagnostics with significant international revenue exposure, but declining top-line growth, weak quality scores, and a high concentration in a single product segment create structural headwinds that outweigh its favorable momentum setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Quality FloorStable
  • Food Safety Segment ConcentrationStable
  • Earnings Consistency MixedStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Neogen Corporation (NEOG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Neogen Corporation develops and markets diagnostic test kits for food safety (71.3% of FY2025 revenue) and animal safety products including veterinary instruments, pharmaceuticals, and genomics services. Products are sold to food processors, livestock producers, and... Read more

$9.17+9.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#56 of 64 Medical Devices
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.96%
Stop $8.69Target $10.20(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$12.00+30.9%3 analysts
$10.20our TP
$9.17price
$12.00mean
$13

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Neogen Corporation

About Neogen Corporation

Neogen Corporation's Food Safety segment represented 71.3% of total revenues in fiscal year 2025 (ended May 31, 2025), selling diagnostic test kits for pathogen detection, allergen testing, and food quality analysis to processors, grain elevators, and regulatory agencies globally. The Animal Safety segment added 28.7% of revenues through veterinary instruments, pharmaceuticals, genomics services, and rodent control products. International customers in more than 100 countries contributed 50.2% of total revenues in fiscal 2025, with no individual foreign country exceeding 10%.

Neogen earns revenue primarily from consumable, single-use immunoassay and nucleic acid test kits carrying royalties on licensed technology at typical rates of 2% to 10% of product revenues, plus culture media, genomics genotyping services from six global labs, and veterinary pharmaceuticals including the USDA-approved BotVax B vaccine. Distribution reaches customers through a direct sales force, specialized distributors, and subsidiaries in 28 countries. The September 2022 Reverse Morris Trust combination with 3M's Food Safety Division roughly doubled scale by adding Petrifilm plate systems and Clean-Trace ATP sanitation products, though integration challenges contributed to impairment charges in the second and fourth quarters of fiscal 2025 and management disclosed material weaknesses in internal controls over financial reporting as of May 31, 2025. In April 2025, Neogen entered into an agreement to sell its global Cleaners and Disinfectants business, trimming the Animal Safety segment.

Show full overview

Certain food safety product lines depend on a sole or single source supplier or vendor, and some of those inputs are proprietary — meaning substitutes may not be readily available if a supplier experiences disruption. The 10-K notes that a sustained interruption in raw material supply could result in significant price increases or unavailability, leading to customer losses. In March 2026, Neogen disclosed via Form 8-K that Chief Legal and Administrative Officer Amy Rocklin departed effective March 31, 2026, with no successor named, adding leadership uncertainty during a critical phase of the 3M Food Safety integration.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Neogen Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Neogen Corporation

Generated 2026-07-05T11:40:24Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Food Safety segment (71.3%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside U.S.) (50.2%)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)31.1
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA32.8
Profit Mgn-69.9%
ROE-25.6%
Rev Growth-4.4%
Beta1.79
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV107%elevated
Max Pain$15+63.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFood Safety segment71%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenues from Neogen's Food Safety segment accounted for 71.3%...of our total revenues for fiscal years ended May 31, 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational (outside U.S.)50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal year 2025, sales to customers outside of the U.S. accounted for 50.2% of our total revenue'
  • HIGHSuppliersole or single source supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our food safety product lines depend on a sole or single source supplier or vendor'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Legal and Administrative Officer Amy Rocklin to leave Neogen effective March 31, 2026. No reason cited; no successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.5
Quality Rank
1.1
Value Rank
6.3

Unprofitable operations — net margin -69.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
3.4
Moat
4.0
Gross Margin
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.1
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 2%, FCF yield 1.0%)No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.69Resistance $9.68

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+11.2%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.6), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.09% of cap)
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEOG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $8.69. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEOG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.20 (+9.2% upside). Prior stop was $8.69. Stop-loss: $8.69.

What are the risks of investing in NEOG?

Concentration risk — Product: Food Safety segment (71.3%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside U.S.) (50.2%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is NEOG overvalued or undervalued?

Neogen Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 31.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NEOG?

10 analysts cover NEOG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Neogen Corporation do?Neogen Corporation develops and markets diagnostic test kits for food safety (71.3% of FY2025 revenue) and animal...

Neogen Corporation develops and markets diagnostic test kits for food safety (71.3% of FY2025 revenue) and animal safety products including veterinary instruments, pharmaceuticals, and genomics services. Products are sold to food processors, livestock producers, and veterinarians in more than 100 countries, with international sales at 50.2% of FY2025 revenue. The September 2022 combination with 3M's Food Safety Division significantly expanded scale.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · DCTH (Delcath Systems, Inc.) · BWAY (Brainsway Ltd.) · TCMD (Tactile Systems Technology, Inc) · PODD (Insulet Corporation)
Home Stocks NEOG

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga34d ago
Benzinga86d ago
Benzinga87d ago
Benzinga87d ago
Benzinga87d ago