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NATNordic American Tankers LimitedHold6.6·$8.21
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Nordic American Tankers shows 104% revenue growth and an attractive valuation, but a perfect 4-for-4 earnings miss record with an average negative surprise of 97%, a negative news modifier, and a stock already above its resistance target all point to a thesis where reported growth has not translated into shareholder returns.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth Not Converting→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Miss Pattern↑Improving
  • Negative Asymmetry Above Resistance→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Nordic American Tankers Limited, a tanker company, owns, operates, and charters double-hull tankers in Bermuda and internationally. As of December 31, 2025, the company fleet consisted of 20 Suezmax crude oil tankers. It serves oil companies, oil traders, and other entities... Read more

$8.21-22.4% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#15 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.17%
IncomeYield13.14%(5y avg 5.55%)Payout105.08%at-risk
Stop $7.64Target $8.54(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$7.50-8.6%2 analysts
$8.54our TP
$8.21price
$7.50mean
$5
$10

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 27, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)18.1
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn33.3%
ROE25.7%
Rev Growth97.5%
Beta-0.52
Dividend13.14%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C12.50bearish
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.00Resistance $8.71

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside-22.4%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.4% upside)
! News modifier -1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-27 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NAT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $8.54 (+4.0%), stop $7.64 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

What is the NAT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.54 (-22.4% upside). Target $8.54 (+4.0%), stop $7.64 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $7.64.

What are the risks of investing in NAT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is NAT overvalued or undervalued?

Nordic American Tankers Limited trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 18.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NAT?

8 analysts cover NAT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Nordic American Tankers Limited do?Nordic American Tankers Limited, a tanker company, owns, operates, and charters double-hull tankers in Bermuda and...

Nordic American Tankers Limited, a tanker company, owns, operates, and charters double-hull tankers in Bermuda and internationally. As of December 31, 2025, the company fleet consisted of 20 Suezmax crude oil tankers. It serves oil companies, oil traders, and other entities requiring crude oil transportation services. The company was formerly known as Nordic American Tanker Shipping Limited and changed its name to American Tankers Limited in June, 2011. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · TRMD (TORM plc) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.)
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