Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. At $63.08, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Delaware Basin.
Matador Resources is an independent E&P company focused on oil and natural gas production in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays of the Delaware Basin (SE New Mexico, West Texas) and Haynesville shale (NW Louisiana). Revenue comes from oil, natural gas, and NGL sales,... Read more
Sell if holding. At $63.08, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Delaware Basin. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicDelaware Basin10-K Item 1A: 'Our reserves and production are concentrated in a few core areas ... leasehold acreage is located primarily in the Delaware Basin'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -12.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $63.08, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Delaware Basin. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $58.65. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $65.08 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $58.65. Stop-loss: $58.65.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Delaware Basin; Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
Matador Resources Company trades at a P/E of 10.3 (forward 7.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover MTDR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $72.
What does Matador Resources Company do?Matador Resources is an independent E&P company focused on oil and natural gas production in the Wolfcamp and Bone...
Matador Resources is an independent E&P company focused on oil and natural gas production in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays of the Delaware Basin (SE New Mexico, West Texas) and Haynesville shale (NW Louisiana). Revenue comes from oil, natural gas, and NGL sales, supplemented by midstream services through its San Mateo subsidiary.