ArcelorMittal is a cyclical steel producer trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9x, with quality below minimum thresholds and a negative risk-reward position after the stock has already exceeded analyst price targets, making this a cautious hold at best.
Thesis pillars
- Commodity Cycle Peak Risk↓Deteriorating
- Target Reached Negative Upside→Stable
- Below Floor Quality Metrics→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shar (MT) Stock Analysis
Sector Rotation edge
Basic Materials · Steel
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $61.11: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
ArcelorMittal S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as integrated steel and mining companies in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. It offers semi-finished flat products, including slabs; finished flat products comprising plates, hot- and cold-rolled coils and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $61.11: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 7d<=7d and materials cycle peak fwd=8.6x,ratio=0.33x. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-28Recent Developments — Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shar
Latest news
- NEWS ArcelorMittal Commissions New Iron Ore Processing Plant in Liberia — fiscal.ai Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Prosecutors Seek Precautionary Measures Against Former ArcelorMittal Executives in Italy — fiscal.ai Oct 26, 2026 negative
- NEWS AM/NS India Supplies Specialized Steel for Indian Navy's INS Mangrol — fiscal.ai Oct 26, 2026 neutral
- NEWS AM/NS India Hazira Blast Furnace Reaches 30 Million Tonne Milestone — fiscal.ai Oct 23, 2026 neutral
- NEWS ArcelorMittal Reaches Initial Deal for South African Unit Takeover — fiscal.ai Oct 21, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-10-28T11:53:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $61.11: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $57.45. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $67.69 (+10.8% upside). Prior stop was $57.45. Stop-loss: $57.45.
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.33× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).
Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shar trades at a P/E of 25.8 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
26 analysts cover MT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $78.
What does Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shar do?ArcelorMittal S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as integrated steel and mining companies in the Americas,...
ArcelorMittal S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as integrated steel and mining companies in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. It offers semi-finished flat products, including slabs; finished flat products comprising plates, hot- and cold-rolled coils and sheets, hot-dipped and electro-galvanized coils and sheets, tinplate, and color coated coils and sheets; semi-finished long products, such as blooms and billets; finished long products consisting of bars, wire-rods, structural sections, rails, sheet piles, and wire-products; and seamless and welded pipes and tubes. The company also provides mining products, such as iron ore lumps, fines, concentrate, pellets, and sinter feeds; and coking coal. It sells its products to various customers in the automotive, appliance, engineering, construction, energy, and machinery industries through a centralized marketing organization, and distributors. The company operates iron ore mining activities in Brazil, Bosnia, Liberia, Mexico, South Africa, and Ukraine, as well as in India and in Canada. ArcelorMittal S.A. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.